AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-03 12:00 UTC · 15 hours ago

SELL

98%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 2% (1.89) ▼ Bearish 98% (86.53)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedge	chart_pattern	2.82
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.75
▼	Bear Flag	chart_pattern	2.48
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.20
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on AUD/JPY 30-minute chart with multiple pattern and momentum confirmations.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with strongest alignment in the 30m to 2h range.
Key downside target is support at 109.375; resistance at 112.980 is the invalidation level.
The confluence of signals (Falling Wedge, Bear Flag, momentum crosses) increases the likelihood of continued downside.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge, and Bear Flag, alongside multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero, and an EMA Retreat Down. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure and a likely continuation of the downtrend. The trend is uniformly bearish across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily chart, with the strongest conviction in the 30-minute through 2-hour timeframes (rated 4/5). The bearish alignment across timeframes reinforces the signal's validity.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.980 and the nearest support at 109.375. A break below support could open the door for further downside, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (83%) and strong strength rating, combined with the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, make this a compelling sell signal. However, traders should remain cautious of a potential bounce near support or a reversal if the price reclaims the resistance level.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish chart patterns (Falling Wedge, Bear Flag) and a trendline break signal a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed below zero, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with strong trend scores (4/5) on the 30m to 2h charts.
▼ High signal probability (83%) and strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ A break back above the resistance level at 112.980 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The daily trend is only 'forming' (2/5), which could indicate a potential reversal if higher timeframe momentum shifts.
▲ If the price approaches the support at 109.375, a bounce could occur, especially if that level has historical significance.
▲ Fading momentum or a consolidation pattern could delay the expected move.