EUR/USD 1H SELL

· 21 days ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (37.46)
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.52
Triple Bottom Retreat Down chart_pattern 2.07
Double Bottom Retreat Down chart_pattern 2.03
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.73
TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.71
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.70
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.65
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
Northern Doji candlestick 1.21
Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H timeframe, with multiple retreat patterns and a trendline break.
  • Fibonacci 79% retracement level is being defended by sellers, adding confluence to the bearish setup.
  • Broader trend is bullish, but momentum on the 1H is only forming, so this may be a corrective pullback.
  • Key levels: support at 1.14999, resistance at 1.15585 – watch for a break to confirm direction.
The 1H EUR/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and multiple Retreat Down patterns (Trendline, Double Bottom, Triple Bottom, TEMA, Fibonacci). The Fibonacci Retreat Down at 79% retracement, combined with a Northern Doji candlestick, suggests sellers are defending a key Fibonacci level. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms declining buying pressure. While the broader trend across all timeframes is bullish, the 1H and 30M trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating that the bullish momentum is not yet robust. This bearish signal cluster on the 1H could represent a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend, but the confluence of patterns and indicators suggests a meaningful retracement may be underway.

Immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.14999, which aligns with a potential downside target. A break below this level would reinforce the bearish case and could open the door for further declines. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 1.15585 serves as the invalidation zone; a sustained move above this level would negate the bearish signal and signal resumption of the broader uptrend. Traders should monitor price action around these levels, as a decisive break in either direction will likely dictate the next move.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bearish patterns (Trendline, Double Bottom, Triple Bottom, TEMA retreats) on the same timeframe.
  • Fibonacci Retreat Down at 79% retracement adds a strong technical level of resistance.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down indicates waning buying pressure, supporting the bearish move.
  • Northern Doji candlestick suggests indecision but leans bearish in context of the retreat patterns.
Risk Factors
  • The higher timeframes (15m through 1d) are all bullish, which could overpower the 1H bearish signal and lead to a quick reversal.
  • The 1H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bearish momentum may lack conviction.
  • If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.15585, the bearish signal is invalidated and the uptrend likely resumes.
  • The signal may be a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend; without a break of support, the downside could be limited.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-05 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.15585 2026-08-03
S1 1.14999 2026-08-03
S2 1.14548 2026-07-31
S3 1.14338 2026-07-30

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