AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-06 07:00 UTC 49 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 90 % (33.48) ▼ Bearish 10 % (3.68)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 90.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS UPPER Break Up	indicator	2.75
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.55
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.48
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.44
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.43
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.37
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.14
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.18
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

1H bullish momentum is strong with multiple breakout signals, but higher timeframes are bearish.
Watch resistance at 110.699 and support at 109.426 for direction.
The signal is a counter-trend buy against the 4H and above downtrend.
Aroon and STOCHRSI suggest short-term overbought conditions, so caution is advised.

The 1H AUD/JPY BUY signal is firing on a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators, including a DEMA break up, EMA 200 break up, and an upper Bollinger Band break, all of which point to strong bullish momentum at the hourly level. The Aroon strong downtrend and STOCHRSI KD cross down, however, are contrarian signals that suggest the recent upward move may be overextended in the very short term. The overall picture is mixed: the 1H and 2H timeframes are bullish but choppy, while the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid downtrends. This means the buy signal is primarily a counter-trend opportunity against the higher-timeframe downtrend, and its sustainability is questionable.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.699 and support at 109.426. A break above resistance could signal a continuation of the bullish move, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the buy signal. The confluence of multiple bullish indicators on the 1H timeframe provides a strong short-term case, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher-timeframe trend. The probability of 90% and very strong strength are based on the indicator cluster, but the higher-timeframe bearishness is a significant risk.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators (DEMA, EMA 200, Bollinger Band) align on the 1H timeframe.
▲ Price broke above the upper Bollinger Band and key moving averages, indicating strong momentum.
▲ Higher timeframes (4H+) are bearish, but the 1H trend is bullish, creating a potential short-term opportunity.
▲ The signal's high probability and very strong strength reflect a high-conviction setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe downtrend (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) may overpower the 1H bullish move.
▼ Aroon and STOCHRSI indicate overbought conditions, increasing the risk of a pullback.
▼ The 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting the bullish move may lack follow-through.
▼ A break below support at 109.426 would invalidate the buy signal.