ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 01:30 UTC 54 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

0.03028

Target

0.02981 +1.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03108 −2.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 7,544 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,544 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 35 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, HMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +3.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (30.58)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.41
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.73
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.32
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.10
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.95
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30m: trendline break, bear flag, and multiple momentum cross-downs.
Higher timeframes (1h-8h) are all bearish, reinforcing the short-term sell signal.
Watch the 0.03108 resistance: a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Downside focus is the 0.02981 support; a break could accelerate selling.

The ETH/BTC pair on the 30-minute chart has triggered a very strong sell signal (87% probability) with a confluence of bearish indicators: a Trendline Break Down, a Bear Flag continuation pattern, and multiple momentum oscillators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down) confirming weakening buying pressure. The MA and T3 Retreat Downs indicate that price is pulling back from recent highs, while the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and CTI OB Exit add further bearish confirmation. This cluster of signals suggests that the short-term uptrend has reversed and downside momentum is building.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent: the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h charts all show bearish trends, with the strongest conviction on the 2h (4/5) and solid trends on the 1h, 4h, and 8h. The 15m is still bullish but only forming (2/5), which could provide a minor countertrend bounce, but the higher timeframes dominate. The nearest support at 0.02981 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 0.03108 is the key level to watch for invalidation if price reclaims it.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (30m-8h all bearish).
▼ Bear Flag pattern suggests continuation of the prior downtrend.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH KD) crossing down confirm selling pressure.
▼ Very strong signal strength (87% probability) increases confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m timeframe is still bullish (2/5), which could lead to a short-term bounce against the trade.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.03108 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCH KD reaches oversold levels, leading to a consolidation.
▲ The 1d and 12h trends are only forming (2/5), so the longer-term bearishness is not yet fully established.