BTC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.50 %
Entry
83,587.14
Target
82,804.65 +0.94 %
closes in profit
Stop
84,352.00 −0.92 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 55 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 4,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 4,632 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 22 % at stop avg −2.16 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.2 % vs 32.6 % on average · stopped out 25.0 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 2,003 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 97%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 09:02 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▲ EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.02
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.77
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 1.66
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.33
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.27
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple overbought indicators (CCI, STOCH, STOCHRSI) are exiting, signaling a likely short-term pullback.
  • The Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA suggests the broader 1H trend is still bullish, but momentum is waning.
  • Key support to watch is 82804.65000; a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold may lead to rangebound action.
  • Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, adding weight to the sell signal.
The 1H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI and STOCH overbought exits, and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down. Price is retreating from the upper Bollinger Band, and the HMA has turned down, suggesting short-term momentum is fading. Notably, a Golden Cross (20/50 EMA) remains in place, indicating the underlying trend is still bullish, but the confluence of overbought indicators points to a potential pullback or consolidation phase.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m and 1D trends are bullish, while the 4H and higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are bearish. This creates a tug-of-war between short-term bullish momentum and longer-term bearish pressure. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 82804.65000; a break below that could open the door to deeper declines, while a hold could see the pullback stall. Resistance sits at 84352.00000, and a reclaim of that level would negate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (BOP, CCI, STOCH, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, HMA) increases the probability of a pullback.
  • ▼ Bearish trend on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes supports the sell bias.
  • ▼ Retreat from the upper Bollinger Band often precedes a mean-reversion move lower.
  • ▼ HMA direction down confirms short-term downtrend momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The Golden Cross and bullish trends on 15m and 1D could overpower the bearish signals, leading to a shallow pullback or a reversal higher.
  • ▲ If price holds above support at 82804.65000, the sell signal may fail and price could resume its uptrend.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is still bullish (trend forming), so the sell signal may be counter-trend and susceptible to false signals.
  • ▲ Watch for a break above resistance at 84352.00000, which would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-13 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 84,352.00000 2026-10-12
R2 86,698.99000 2026-10-06
R3 86,725.12000 2026-10-05
S1 82,804.65000 2026-10-11
S2 82,285.71000 2026-10-09
S3 80,393.56000 2026-10-08

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