ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-12 23:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.60 %

Entry

0.02999

Target

0.02981 +0.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03065 −2.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,475 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 8,475 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.03 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.06 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Channel, ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 23:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Ascending Channelbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.33
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	1.75
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.39

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong across multiple timeframes, with a clear trendline and channel breakdown on the 30m chart.
The nearest support at 0.02997 is the next target; a break below could accelerate selling.
The 4h bullish trend is a warning sign—watch for a potential conflict if the price holds above the 4h support.
The STOCHF KD Cross Up may indicate a short-term bounce, but it is likely to be sold into given the overall bearish trend.

The ETH/BTC pair on the 30-minute timeframe has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and an Ascending Channel breakdown. This is reinforced by multiple indicator retreats (MAMA, T3, ALMA) and a STOCHF KD Cross Up that appears to be a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend. The confluence of these signals points to a continuation of the bearish move, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 0.02997.

Trend alignment is strongly bearish across the lower and mid timeframes, with 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, and 12h all showing solid to very strong bearish trends. The 2h and 1d are also bearish but with forming trends, while the 4h remains bullish but only forming. This mixed higher-timeframe picture suggests that while the immediate momentum is down, a deeper reversal is not yet confirmed. The key resistance at 0.03065 is the level to watch; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, and 12h all bearish, providing a strong multi-timeframe confluence.
▼ Multiple indicator retreats (MAMA, T3, ALMA) confirm the bearish momentum.
▼ Breakdown of both a trendline and an ascending channel adds weight to the bearish signal.
▼ Strong trend score (4/5) on the 15m timeframe suggests immediate downside pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4h timeframe is still bullish, which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal if the price holds above key 4h support.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up is a bullish cross, which could signal a short-term bounce that might stall the decline.
▲ If the price reclaims the 0.03065 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and a move back into the channel is possible.
▲ The 2h and 1d trends are only forming, meaning the longer-term bearish trend is not yet fully established, increasing the risk of a false breakdown.