GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
56 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %
Entry
209.185
Target
208.477 +0.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
209.987 −0.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,522 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,522 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, HMA Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +20% Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (60.25)
model score 3.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.87
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.62
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.48
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.43
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.40
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.23
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 1.78
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.52
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.17

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 30-minute GBP/JPY chart, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple moving average retreats and a stochastic cross down.
  • The bearish trend is solid on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, but higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are choppy/sideways, so the move is likely a short-term trend within a broader range.
  • Key levels: nearest resistance at 209.98700 and nearest support at 209.00500. A break below support could extend the downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The signal probability is rated at 100% with 'very strong' strength, but the mixed higher-timeframe trends warrant caution and close monitoring of price action at support.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by a STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE Break Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and trendline-based signals points to a strong, broad-based bearish push on the 30-minute timeframe, with the probability rated at 100% and strength 'very strong'. The bearish alignment is consistent across the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes, though the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the current move is a short-term trend within a broader range. The 12-hour timeframe is even bullish, adding a layer of caution for aggressive downside expectations.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 209.98700 and nearest support at 209.00500. A break below support would confirm continued downside momentum and open the path toward lower targets, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal cluster is strong, but the mixed higher-timeframe trends mean traders should watch for signs of momentum fading or a bounce off support. The invalidation level for this bearish bias is a sustained move back above the 209.98700 resistance, which would negate the trendline break and the retreat signals.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicators and trendline signals all pointing bearish on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, providing a solid short-term trend foundation.
  • ▼ The Trendline Break Down and MAMA PRICE Break Down suggest a decisive move below key technical levels, which often attracts follow-through selling.
  • ▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down adds momentum confirmation, increasing the likelihood of continued downside in the near term.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the follow-through of the bearish move and lead to range-bound behavior.
  • ▲ The 12-hour timeframe is bullish, creating a potential conflict that could trigger a reversal if the price approaches stronger support.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 209.98700 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price stalls at the nearest support at 209.00500, leading to a consolidation or bounce.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-13 07:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 209.98700 2026-10-12
R2 210.20300 2026-10-07
S1 209.00500 2026-10-09
S2 208.47700 2026-10-08
S3 208.19400 2026-10-08

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