USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-13 00:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

158.285

Target

156.376 +1.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

160.389 −1.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,487 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,487 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 38 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 11 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 26 % (4.85) ▼ Bearish 74 % (13.79)

model score 74.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.68
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.17
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	STC Level Cross Down	indicator	1.11
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.90
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.86
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.86
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.85
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 8H chart signals a potential short-term downtrend.
The bearish momentum is strongest on the 15m and 30m timeframes, but higher timeframes remain choppy or bullish.
Key levels: support at 156.37600 and resistance at 158.45400.
The signal is moderate strength with a 74% probability, but higher timeframe conflict warrants caution.

The USD/JPY 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ERI Bear Zero Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down, alongside four additional confirmations. This confluence suggests that the pair is exiting overbought conditions and that downside momentum is building on the 8H timeframe. The alignment of multiple oscillators and moving average signals points to a potential shift from the prior bullish bias to a bearish phase, with the nearest support at 156.37600 serving as the immediate downside target.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is strongest on the 15m and 30m charts, with solid to very strong trend scores, while the 1H chart shows a forming bearish trend. However, higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are choppy and sideways, and the 12H and 1D remain bullish, albeit with weak trend formation. This mixed structure suggests that the bearish signal is primarily a short-term momentum play, and traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 158.45400 is a key level to monitor; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup, while a hold below could see the pair test support.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confluence (CCI, DI, DM, STOCH, WILLR, SMA 200, ERI, KDJ) all aligning bearish on the 8H.
▼ Strong bearish trend on 15m and 30m timeframes supports immediate downside momentum.
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down suggests price is pulling back from a key moving average, reinforcing bearish pressure.
▼ The exit from overbought conditions (CCI OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit) often precedes sustained downward moves.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bullish, which could limit the depth of any bearish move.
▲ The 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend conviction.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 158.45400 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price fails to break below the 156.37600 support, leading to a range-bound scenario.