GBP/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

1.32160

Target

1.32856 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.31843 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 316 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.39 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 74 % (20.71) ▼ Bearish 26 % (7.11)

model score 74.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.1 % vs 17.6 % on average · stopped out 16.5 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 284 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	3.08
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	2.17
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.08
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.92
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.80
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.58
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.58
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) are turning up, but the trend is still bearish on higher timeframes.
The signal is a counter-trend bounce within a downtrend; watch for resistance at 1.32856.
Support at 1.31843 is the key invalidation level for this bullish signal.
ADX shows weak trend strength, so the bounce may lack conviction.

The GBP/USD 4H signal is a BUY, driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators turning upward—MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossing above zero, while CCI has exited oversold territory. However, the Aroon indicators are still pointing down, and the ADX shows weak trend strength, suggesting the move is more of a corrective bounce within a broader bearish structure rather than a confirmed reversal. The higher timeframes (12H and 1D) remain in solid downtrends, and the 4H itself is choppy, so the bullish momentum is not yet aligned with the larger trend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.32856 and support at 1.31843. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend. Given the conflicting timeframes and weak trend scores, traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside potential, requiring confirmation from price action and higher timeframe alignment.

Catalysts

▲ Momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing above zero indicate short-term buying pressure.
▲ CCI exiting oversold territory suggests the selling momentum is fading.
▲ The 15-minute timeframe is showing a nascent bullish trend, offering a lower-timeframe tailwind.
▲ The bounce is occurring near a support level, providing a technical confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the 4H bounce.
▼ Aroon indicators remain bearish, indicating the primary trend is still down.
▼ Weak ADX (DX Trend Weak) suggests the current move lacks strong directional momentum.
▼ A break below 1.31843 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.