NZD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-13 06:00 UTC 55 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

0.55898

Target

0.55601 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56266 −0.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 512 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 512 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 12 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +16% Intraday

▲ Bullish 4 % (1.32) ▼ Bearish 96 % (30.56)

model score 95.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.52
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.96
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.74
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.22

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 2H: multiple moving average retreats, trendline break, and BOP zero cross all point lower.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, reinforcing the 2H signal.
Key levels: resistance at 0.56266, support at 0.55817; a break below support could accelerate downside.
Short-term 15m/30m bullish pullback is weak and likely a counter-trend move within the broader downtrend.

The NZD/USD 2H signal fires a SELL with very strong conviction, driven by a cluster of bearish indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Weak, and a cascade of EMA, MA, SMA, midpoint, and midprice retreats, plus a trendline retreat on the higher timeframe. This confluence indicates that sellers are in control on the 2H chart, with momentum and trend metrics aligning to the downside. The signal groups (indicator and candlestick) reinforce each other, suggesting a coordinated bearish push rather than a single isolated event.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is dominant, with the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all bearish, and the 8H, 12H, and 1D showing solid to very strong trends. The 15m and 30m are bullish but only trend forming with weak scores, which likely reflects a short-term pullback within the larger downtrend. This alignment supports the SELL signal, with the nearest resistance at 0.56266 acting as a potential entry or invalidation zone, and the nearest support at 0.55817 as the immediate downside target. A break below support could open the path for further declines, while a move above resistance would negate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving averages (EMA, MA, SMA) retreating downward, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ Trendline retreat on higher timeframe adds confluence to the bearish setup.
▼ BOP zero cross down signals selling pressure, while DX trend weak suggests momentum is not strong to the upside.
▼ Strong trend scores on 8H, 12H, and 1D align with the 2H bearish signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m are bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce toward resistance before continuation lower.
▲ If price breaks above 0.56266, the bearish setup is invalidated and a reversal may be underway.
▲ The 2H trend score is only 2/5, indicating the trend is still forming and not yet fully established.
▲ Watch for bullish candlestick patterns near support that could signal a bounce and stall the downtrend.