BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-16 00:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.23 %

Entry

82,344.00

Target

79,800.00 +3.09 %

closes in profit

Stop

82,634.30 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,175 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,175 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KST Signal Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +3.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (39.93)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 01:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.13
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish bias on higher timeframes, with the 4-hour showing the strongest downtrend.
Short-term momentum is bullish, but the overall structure remains bearish.
Watch the 82634.30 resistance; a rejection there would reinforce the sell signal.
The 79800.00 support is the key downside target if the bearish trend persists.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT signal is a bearish SELL with weak strength (57% probability), driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, while the EMA 200 and TEMA Retreat Down confirm a pullback from higher levels. However, the CCI, DI, DM, and STOCH KD crosses are all upward, suggesting short-term bullish momentum within the broader bearish structure. This mixed signal points to a potential retracement before the downtrend resumes.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish from the 1-hour to the daily chart, with the 4-hour showing the strongest bearish trend (3/5). The 15-minute and 30-minute charts are bullish but choppy, indicating a counter-trend bounce. The key resistance at 82634.30 is the immediate hurdle for any upside move, while support at 79800.00 is the target if the bearish trend continues. The confluence of bearish higher timeframe trends with a weak short-term bounce suggests that selling rallies into resistance may be favored.

Catalysts

▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 1h, 2h, 4h, 12h, and 1d are all bearish, with the 4h trend solid.
▼ EMA 200 and TEMA Retreat Down confirm a pullback from elevated levels.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down signals increasing selling pressure.
▼ Nearest resistance at 82634.30 provides a clear level for potential short entries.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term bullish crosses (CCI, DI, DM, STOCH) could trigger a stronger bounce, invalidating the sell signal if price breaks above 82634.30.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, which may lead to a counter-trend rally.
▲ Signal strength is weak (57%), so the move may lack conviction.
▲ If price holds above resistance and forms higher lows, the bearish thesis weakens.