AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-19 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.54 %

Entry

9.7120

Target

9.2640 +4.61 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.8950 −1.88 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,735 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,735 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↑ +3.8 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 20 % (4.97) ▼ Bearish 80 % (19.90)

model score 26.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 04:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.66
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.30
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.81
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.35
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.19

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is firing across multiple indicators on the 30m chart, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are all bearish, aligning with the 30m signal, though all trends are still forming.
Watch the nearest support at 9.26400; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of 9.89500 would invalidate it.
The bullish trends on lower timeframes (15m-1h) are weak and may be overridden by the broader bearish context.

The 30-minute AVA/XUSDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum and volatility signals, including BOP, MOM, and ROC zero cross downs, a WILLR OB exit, T3 retreat, and an AO saucer bearish pattern. This suggests a coordinated shift in short-term momentum, with multiple independent indicators confirming a loss of upside drive. The T3 retreat and HT TRENDMODE transition to cycle further imply that the prevailing bullish phase on this timeframe is losing structure, favoring a pullback toward lower prices.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but increasingly bearish: the 15m to 1h timeframes still show bullish trends, though all are only 'trend forming' at 2/5, indicating weak conviction. In contrast, the 2h through 1d timeframes are all bearish, also at 2/5. This alignment of the higher timeframes with the 30m signal adds weight to the bearish case, suggesting the move is not just a short-term blip but part of a broader correction. The nearest resistance at 9.89500 caps any upside, while the nearest support at 9.26400 is the first downside target. A break below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple zero-cross down signals (BOP, MOM, ROC) confirm a coordinated loss of momentum.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment (2h-1d) all bearish, reinforcing the 30m signal direction.
▼ T3 retreat and HT TRENDMODE cycle shift indicate a structural change in the prevailing trend.
▼ AO saucer bearish pattern adds a classic reversal setup to the mix.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are still bullish, which could provide short-term bounce pressure.
▲ All trends are 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the bearish alignment is not yet fully established.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 9.89500 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum indicators can fade quickly; watch for a reversal in the 30m candles.