BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-19 01:30 UTC 55 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.34 %

Entry

82,443.86

Target

80,684.36 +2.13 %

closes in profit

Stop

82,940.81 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,735 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,735 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,598 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↓ −3.2 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 43 % (5.82) ▼ Bearish 57 % (7.70)

model score 39.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (19 Oct 2026, 02:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.61
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.05
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.04
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signals cluster on the 30M chart, but the trend is still bullish on 15M and 30M, so this is a pullback, not a reversal.
The 4H timeframe is strongly bearish, providing higher-timeframe support for the sell signal, but the 1H and 2H are only forming bullish trends.
Watch the nearest support at 80684.36; a break there would confirm the bearish move, while holding could see a bounce.
Signal strength is weak (57%), so expect limited follow-through and possible chop.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT signal fires a cluster of bearish indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down—alongside three candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Bearish Harami Cross, Shooting Star). These together suggest a short-term pullback from overbought conditions, with momentum fading on the 30-minute timeframe. However, the broader trend is mixed: the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes remain bullish (trend scores 4/5 and 3/5), while the 4-hour timeframe is strongly bearish (4/5). This creates a tug-of-war between short-term bullish momentum and higher-timeframe bearish pressure, making the signal's probability (57%) and weak strength a cautious short-term sell rather than a confirmed reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 82940.81 and support at 80684.36. A break below support would align with the 4-hour bearish trend and could extend losses, while holding above support might allow the bullish short-term trend to resume. The signal's weakness suggests limited follow-through, so traders should treat this as a tactical pullback opportunity rather than a trend change. Confirmation from a lower timeframe or a break of support would strengthen the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exits (CMO, KDJ) and a BOP zero cross down indicate fading bullish momentum on the 30M chart.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Shooting Star, Bearish Harami Cross) add confluence to the bearish signal.
▼ The 4H timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which could pull shorter timeframes lower.
▼ Resistance at 82940.81 is nearby, providing a clear level for sellers to defend.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish (4/5 and 3/5), which could override the weak sell signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The signal strength is weak (57%), so the move may stall or reverse quickly.
▲ If price holds above support at 80684.36, the bearish case weakens and the bullish short-term trend could resume.
▲ Higher timeframe conflict: while 4H is bearish, the 1H and 2H are forming bullish trends, creating uncertainty.