BCH/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
59 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.18 %
Entry
274.20
Target
281.30 +2.59 %
closes in profit
Stop
263.90 −3.76 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 10,147 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 10,147 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Retreat Up, KDJ OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,710 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −27.9 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 88 % (8.63) ▼ Bearish 12 % (1.16)
model score 7.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.3 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 45.4 % vs 21.9 % (crypto, 2,852 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BCH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 09:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 2.10
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.68
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.52
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▼ SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 1.16
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on 30M are firing against a broader bearish trend; expect a bounce, not a reversal.
  • The Death Cross on SMA 20/50 caps upside potential; watch for resistance at 281.300.
  • Support at 263.900 is the key invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
  • The high probability (88%) is strong, but low trend scores across timeframes warrant caution.
The BCH/USDT 30-minute signal fires a bullish cluster with very strong probability (88%), yet the broader trend context is predominantly bearish. The bullish indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up, ZLMA Retreat Up, and a Long Legged Doji—suggest a short-term bounce or reversal attempt. However, the SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross on the same timeframe indicates that the medium-term moving averages are still bearish, which may cap upside. The confluence of multiple retreat signals and an oversold exit points to a potential mean-reversion move, but the higher timeframes (1h to 1d) all show bearish momentum, so this is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 281.300 and support at 263.900. A sustained push above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, but failure to hold support would invalidate the signal. The trend scores across timeframes are low (1-2/5), indicating weak trend strength, which aligns with the choppy/sideways description. Traders should treat this as a tactical scalp rather than a trend reversal, with tight risk management. The 15m and 30m trends are also bearish, so the signal is firing against the prevailing flow, reducing its reliability despite the high probability score.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple retreat signals (HMA, ZLMA) and KDJ oversold exit indicate a strong short-term bounce setup.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up add momentum confluence for a bullish move.
  • ▲ The Long Legged Doji suggests indecision, often preceding a reversal when combined with other signals.
  • ▲ Nearest resistance is relatively close, providing a clear target for a quick trade.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1h-1d) are all bearish, so the rally may be short-lived and fade at resistance.
  • ▼ The SMA Death Cross on 30M signals underlying bearish momentum that could overwhelm the bounce.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 263.900, the signal is invalidated and downside could resume.
  • ▼ Trend strength is weak (1-2/5) across timeframes, implying low conviction in any directional move.
Symbol BCH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-20 09:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 281.30000 2026-10-20
R2 284.50000 2026-10-17
R3 284.60000 2026-10-16
S1 263.90000 2026-10-18

Tags

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