EUR/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW
50 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %
Entry
1.12010
Target
1.11129 +0.79 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12696 −0.61 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 256 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 256 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 17 % (5.88) ▼ Bearish 83 % (28.17)
model score 82.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/USD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURIfo Business Climate●●○Forecast 87.5Previous 89.9in 3h
  • TodayEURIfo Current Business Situation●●○Forecast 89.7Previous 89.5in 3h
  • TodayEURIfo Business Expectations●●○Forecast 90.4Previous 90.4in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 2.03
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.74
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.72
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.34
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.31
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.27
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.19
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.19
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 0.89

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 8H with high probability and strong strength.
  • Multiple indicators align for a bearish move, including AROON cross and moving average retreats.
  • Daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, supporting the signal.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.12696, support at 1.11129; watch for breaks.
The 8H EUR/USD signal is strongly bearish, with an 82% probability and strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicators—AROON Cross Up, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Break Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down—points to a broad-based downward move. The AROON and AROONOSC crosses suggest a shift in momentum, while the retreats and breaks in moving averages and trendlines indicate that price is pulling away from key dynamic levels. This alignment across many indicators on the 8H timeframe reinforces the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from 1H upward, with the 1D timeframe showing a very strong trend (4/5), which lends strong support to the signal. However, the shorter timeframes (15m and 30m) are bullish and choppy, suggesting potential near-term counter-trend moves. The nearest resistance at 1.12696 and support at 1.11129 define the immediate range. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a push above resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis. The strong daily trend and multi-indicator confluence make the bearish case compelling, but traders should be aware of the choppy short-term bullish pressure.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of many indicators firing in the same direction on the 8H timeframe.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe (1D) shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), aligning with the signal.
  • ▼ Retreats and breaks in key moving averages and trendlines suggest momentum is shifting downward.
  • ▼ The AROON Cross Up and AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicate a momentum shift that often precedes sustained moves.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend rallies.
  • ▲ If price pushes above the nearest resistance at 1.12696, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The 8H trend itself is only choppy/sideways (1/5) despite the strong signal, indicating potential lack of trend clarity at this timeframe.
  • ▲ Fading momentum or a failure to break below support could result in a bounce, so watch for a move below 1.11129 to confirm.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12696 2026-10-16
R2 1.16538 2026-09-09
R3 1.17109 2026-08-21
S1 1.11129 2026-10-14

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