GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-23 01:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.29 %

Entry

209.671

Target

209.297 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

211.990 −1.11 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 20 % (7.71) ▼ Bearish 80 % (30.16)

model score 2.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.46
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.08
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.88
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes, with the 30m signal firing a high-probability sell.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 211.990 and support at 209.470; a break below support could extend the downtrend.
The retreat of multiple moving averages and trendlines confirms sellers are in control on the lower timeframes.
Be cautious of the choppy 8h/12h trends; they may indicate a larger consolidation that could limit downside.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute signal is firmly bearish, with a strong confluence of indicators all pointing lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms a shift in buying pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a short-term pullback within the broader downtrend. The retreat of multiple moving averages and trendlines (EMA, KAMA, MA, and the higher-timeframe trendline) indicates that price is consistently failing to hold above these dynamic levels, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The candlestick group adds confirmation, showing that sellers are in control on this timeframe.

Trend alignment is robust from the 15-minute through the 4-hour timeframes, all showing solid to very strong bearish trends. However, the 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes are choppy and sideways, which tempers the overall conviction and suggests the pair may be in a consolidation phase within a larger range. The nearest resistance at 211.990 and support at 209.470 define the immediate battle zone. A break below the support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The 1-day trend is only forming, so watch for a potential shift if higher timeframes begin to align.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) all point bearish, creating a strong confluence.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes, with the 1h showing very strong bearish momentum.
▼ The candlestick group adds price-action confirmation to the indicator signals.
▼ Resistance at 211.990 is nearby, providing a clear invalidation level if price reclaims it.

Risk Factors

▲ The 8h and 12h timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could mean the pair is range-bound and the downtrend may stall.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 211.990, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 1d trend is only forming (2/5), so the higher-timeframe picture is not fully bearish yet.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a short-term bounce is possible, which could delay the move lower.