GBP/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC 54 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

1.34023

Target

1.35678 +1.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.31369 −1.98 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 441 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 441 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Swing

▲ Bullish 84 % (39.17) ▼ Bearish 16 % (7.42)

model score 84.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.65
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.59
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.98
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signals on the 4H chart, supported by higher timeframes.
Momentum shift indicated by AROON and BOP cross-ups, with EMA and trendline retreats suggesting a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch for a break above 1.35678 to confirm the bullish move; support at 1.31369 is key invalidation.
Short-term choppiness and bearish 1H/2H trends mean patience is needed for confirmation.

The GBP/USD 4H signal is firmly bullish, with an 84% probability and strong trend score. The confluence of AROON Cross Down and AROONOSC Zero Cross Down suggests a momentum shift, while BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up confirm buying pressure. EMA Retreat Up and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicate that price is pulling back from recent highs, potentially setting up a continuation of the uptrend.

Across timeframes, the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show bullish trends, with the 4H being the strongest (3/5). However, the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy and sideways, and the 1H and 2H are bearish, indicating near-term consolidation. This suggests the bullish bias is more established on higher timeframes, and the current pullback may be a healthy retracement within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.35678 and support at 1.31369; a break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Alignment of bullish trends on 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▲ Multiple momentum indicators (AROON, BOP, STOCH) firing in the same direction.
▲ Retreat patterns (EMA, HT TRENDLINE) suggest a healthy pullback within an uptrend, offering entry opportunities.
▲ Strong trend score (3/5) on the 4H timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Conflicting bearish trends on 1H and 2H timeframes could signal a deeper correction.
▼ Choppy/sideways action on 15m and 30m suggests near-term indecision.
▼ If price falls below support at 1.31369, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ Momentum signals could fade if the pullback extends; watch for a break below recent lows.