NZD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

0.56885

Target

0.59019 +3.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55653 −2.17 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 441 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 441 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 72 % (12.63) ▼ Bearish 28 % (5.01)

model score 71.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.23
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.23
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.22
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.11
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.88
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.83
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.69
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.64

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

4H bullish signal backed by multiple trend-following indicators, but 1D is strongly bearish—conflict.
Watch the 0.59019 resistance; a break would strengthen the bullish case, while a rejection could lead to a pullback.
Support at 0.55653 is the invalidation zone; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
Shorter timeframes (30m, 2H) are bearish, suggesting possible near-term consolidation or dip before continuation.

The 4H NZD/USD signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum and trend-following indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, TRIMA Retreat Up—alongside bearish oscillators (FISHER Zero Cross Down, RSX Midline Cross Down) that suggest a pullback within an overall uptrend. The medium timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, with trend strength building from 2/5 to 3/5, indicating a developing upward structure. However, the 1D timeframe is strongly bearish (4/5), and shorter timeframes (30m, 2H) are bearish, creating a complex picture. The nearest resistance at 0.59019 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.55653 marks a critical floor. The confluence of multiple trend-following indicators on the 4H, aligned with higher-timeframe bullishness, supports the buy signal, but the conflicting 1D trend and near-term bearishness warrant caution.

Catalysts

▲ Bullish alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, with trend strength improving from 2/5 to 3/5.
▲ Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA, MA, KAMA, TRIMA, HT TRENDLINE) all retreating upward on the 4H.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up signals improving buying pressure, supporting the move higher.
▲ RSX and FISHER pullbacks may be temporary, offering entry opportunities if the uptrend resumes.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish 1D trend (4/5) could dominate, dragging the pair lower despite the 4H signal.
▼ Bearish 30m and 2H timeframes may cause choppy, sideways action or a deeper pullback before any upside.
▼ Resistance at 0.59019 is close; if it holds, the signal could fail and lead to a reversal.
▼ If price falls below 0.55653 support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and a bearish move may accelerate.