USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
52 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %
Entry
0.82021
Target
0.83950 +2.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.80672 −1.64 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 441 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 441 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, BOP Zero Cross Up, Bullish Meeting Lines

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.4 % – first candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing
▲ Bullish 64 % (3.82) ▼ Bearish 36 % (2.17)
model score 63.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 692 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.63
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.49
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.78
▲ Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 0.64

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The BUY signal is counter to the prevailing bearish trend across all timeframes, so treat it as high-risk.
  • Watch the 0.83950 resistance: a close above could signal a reversal, but a failure to break it would likely see the bearish trend resume.
  • The 0.80672 support is the invalidation level; a break below would confirm the bearish trend and negate the bullish signal.
  • Weak signal strength and multiple conflicting indicators mean that patience and confirmation are key before acting.
The 4H USD/CHF signal is a BUY with weak strength and 63% probability, but the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 1d. The signal fires include a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCH KD Cross Down, a SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, a Bullish Meeting Lines, and a Gapping Down Doji. The BOP Zero Cross Up and Bullish Meeting Lines suggest a potential short-term bullish reversal, while the STOCH KD Cross Down and Gapping Down Doji indicate bearish momentum. The SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire points to a volatility compression, often preceding a breakout, but the direction is ambiguous given the bearish trend.

Given the conflicting signals, the BUY signal is likely a counter-trend play. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a key level to watch; a break above would confirm bullish momentum, while the nearest support at 0.80672 is critical—a break below would invalidate the bullish case and reinforce the bearish trend. The weak strength and low probability, combined with the bearish alignment across all timeframes, suggest that any bullish move may be limited. Traders should treat this as a high-risk opportunity, waiting for confirmation before committing to a long position.
Catalysts
  • ▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and Bullish Meeting Lines provide a short-term bullish confluence.
  • ▲ The SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicates a volatility compression that often precedes a directional move, which could work in favor of a breakout.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe shows the strongest trend score (3/5) among all timeframes, suggesting that the 4H level may be the most reliable for this signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with the 1D and 15M at 1/5, meaning the higher timeframe trend strongly opposes the BUY signal.
  • ▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down and Gapping Down Doji are bearish signals that could dominate if the bullish reversal fails.
  • ▼ A break below the 0.80672 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the bearish move.
  • ▼ The signal strength is weak, and the probability is only 63%, so the chance of failure is significant; avoid over-leveraging.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 64%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.80672 2026-09-09
S2 0.80520 2026-09-03

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