LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.29 %
Entry
0.00004505
Target
0.00004756 +5.57 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004447 −1.29 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 1,624 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,624 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.74 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.96 % 20 % at stop avg −3.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 1,733 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
LUNC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●●Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 69%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 2.29
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 2.05
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.40
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ERI) align for a bullish bounce, but the higher timeframes are strongly bearish.
  • The ZSCORE extreme low exit suggests the asset was oversold, increasing the odds of a mean-reversion bounce.
  • Watch the 0.00005 resistance: a rejection there would confirm the bounce is fading.
  • A break below 0.00004 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
The 4H BUY signal for LUN/CUSDT fires a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators at 18:00 UTC on 2026-10-24. The BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down all point to a shift in short-term momentum, while the ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests the asset was statistically oversold and is now rebounding. The Belt Hold Bullish candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation, together implying that the immediate selling pressure has exhausted and a bounce is underway.

However, the broader trend context is clearly bearish. The 8H and 12H timeframes show very strong bearish trends (4/5), and the 2H and 1D are solidly bearish (3/5). This creates a conflict: the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is a critical ceiling; if the bounce fails to break it, the bearish trend is likely to reassert. The nearest support at 0.00004 is the invalidation zone—a break below would nullify the bullish setup. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ERI) fired in the same direction, showing confluence.
  • ▲ ZSCORE extreme low exit indicates the asset was statistically oversold, supporting a bounce.
  • ▲ The Belt Hold Bullish candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation to the indicator cluster.
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is the signal's home, and the signal strength is moderate with a 72% probability, suggesting a reasonable edge.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across 8H, 12H, and 1D is strongly bearish, making this a counter-trend trade with higher risk.
  • ▼ The 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are also bearish, meaning the bounce could be short-lived.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is a clear ceiling; failure to break it would likely lead to a retest of support.
  • ▼ If price falls below 0.00004 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes with force.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 69%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-24 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-20
R2 0.00005 2026-10-16
R3 0.00005 2026-10-10
S1 0.00004 2026-10-18

Tags

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