LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY
BUY 3× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for LUNC/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●●Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.97 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Short-term momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ERI) align for a bullish bounce, but the higher timeframes are strongly bearish.
- The ZSCORE extreme low exit suggests the asset was oversold, increasing the odds of a mean-reversion bounce.
- Watch the 0.00005 resistance: a rejection there would confirm the bounce is fading.
- A break below 0.00004 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
However, the broader trend context is clearly bearish. The 8H and 12H timeframes show very strong bearish trends (4/5), and the 2H and 1D are solidly bearish (3/5). This creates a conflict: the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is a critical ceiling; if the bounce fails to break it, the bearish trend is likely to reassert. The nearest support at 0.00004 is the invalidation zone—a break below would nullify the bullish setup. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal.
- ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, ERI) fired in the same direction, showing confluence.
- ▲ ZSCORE extreme low exit indicates the asset was statistically oversold, supporting a bounce.
- ▲ The Belt Hold Bullish candlestick pattern adds price-action confirmation to the indicator cluster.
- ▲ The 4H timeframe is the signal's home, and the signal strength is moderate with a 72% probability, suggesting a reasonable edge.
- ▼ The dominant trend across 8H, 12H, and 1D is strongly bearish, making this a counter-trend trade with higher risk.
- ▼ The 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are also bearish, meaning the bounce could be short-lived.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.00005 is a clear ceiling; failure to break it would likely lead to a retest of support.
- ▼ If price falls below 0.00004 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes with force.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-20 |
| R2 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-16 |
| R3 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-10 |
| S1 | 0.00004 | 2026-10-18 |