NEAR/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.26 %

Entry

4.4600

Target

5.4510 +22.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

4.3010 −3.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 9 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 1,624 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,624 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.74 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.96 % 20 % at stop avg −3.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OS Exit, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −23.9 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +15% Swing

▲ Bullish 80 % (17.05) ▼ Bearish 20 % (4.37)

model score 11.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 39.9 % vs 22.5 % (crypto, 1,733 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NEAR/USDT

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
14:00TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●●Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	2.15
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.01
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) and a BOP zero cross up suggest a high-probability bounce from the lower Bollinger/Keltner bands.
The 1D timeframe is bullish, providing a supportive backdrop, but the 4H and lower timeframes are bearish, so the signal is a counter-trend play within the short-term.
Key levels: resistance at 5.45100 and support at 4.30100; a break above resistance confirms bullish reversal, while losing support invalidates the signal.
The signal strength is very strong, but the mixed trend alignment across timeframes warrants caution and confirmation from price action.

The NEA/RUSDT 4H signal is a confluence of multiple oversold exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) and a BOP zero cross up, alongside a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band and Keltner channel. This cluster suggests that selling pressure has exhausted and a bounce is likely, with the phasor inphase cross down adding a cyclical component to the setup. The very strong signal strength (92% probability) amplifies the conviction behind the long bias, though the broader trend context is mixed: the 1D timeframe is bullish, while the 4H and lower timeframes are bearish, with the 2H showing a solid bearish trend. This divergence implies that the signal may be catching an early reversal within a larger bullish structure, but the immediate bearish momentum could delay the bounce.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 5.45100 and support at 4.30100. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and align with the daily trend, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal and suggest the bearish momentum persists. The trend scores indicate that the higher timeframe (1D) is supportive, but the intermediate timeframes (1H-4H) are still bearish, so the signal is a counter-trend play within those. Traders should monitor price action closely around these levels, as the confluence of oversold indicators often precedes a sharp move, but the direction depends on whether the 4H can flip from bearish to bullish.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of five oversold exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE, and BOP) firing together on the 4H timeframe.
▲ Retreat from the lower Bollinger Band and Keltner channel indicates that downside momentum is fading.
▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind for a potential reversal.
▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with 92% probability, suggesting a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4H and lower timeframes (15m to 2H) are bearish with strong trend scores, which could overpower the reversal attempt.
▼ The nearest resistance at 5.45100 is relatively close, and if the bounce fails to break above it, the signal could be a false start.
▼ The 8H and 12H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend direction that could lead to whipsaws.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 4.30100, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.