BTC/USDT – 12H – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more
Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for BTC/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 17h
- TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 19h
- TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 19h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A strong 12H sell signal with 85% probability, backed by multiple bearish indicators including BOP, STOCHRSI, and three retreat patterns.
- Bearish trend alignment across 30m to 8h timeframes, with solid trends on 1h, 2h, and 4h, supporting the signal's direction.
- Key levels: resistance at 87220 and support at 79800. A break below support would confirm the move; a reclaim of resistance would invalidate.
- Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, so expect potential volatility and watch for momentum shifts.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 87220 and support at 79800. A sustained move below the support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. The choppy/sideways trends on the 12h and 1d timeframes indicate some indecision at higher levels, but the alignment of lower timeframes suggests the bearish move is likely to continue. Traders should watch for a break of the support level as confirmation, and be cautious of any sharp reversal back above resistance.
- ▼ Multiple indicators firing together (BOP, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, T3, ALMA) create strong confluence for a bearish move.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across several timeframes (30m to 8h) reinforces the signal's strength.
- ▼ Solid trend scores (3/5) on 1h, 2h, and 4h suggest established momentum in the bearish direction.
- ▼ The signal's very strong strength and high probability (85%) indicate a high-confidence setup.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish move may lack sustained follow-through.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 87220, the signal would be invalidated, so watch for a break above that level.
- ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes (15m showing bullish forming) could signal a potential reversal.
- ▲ Nearby support at 79800 may act as a strong floor, potentially limiting downside if approached.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 87,220.00000 | 2026-10-02 |
| R2 | 87,395.67000 | 2026-09-21 |
| S1 | 79,800.00000 | 2026-10-15 |
| S2 | 74,967.97000 | 2026-09-15 |
| S3 | 62,535.24000 | 2026-08-14 |