BTC/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.97 %
Entry
80,580.97
Target
79,800.00 +0.97 %
closes in profit
Stop
87,220.00 −8.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 616 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 616 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +5.30 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.87 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.91 % 16 % at stop avg −6.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
BTC/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 17h
  • TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●○Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 19h
  • TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 12h 15%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.66
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.21

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong 12H sell signal with 85% probability, backed by multiple bearish indicators including BOP, STOCHRSI, and three retreat patterns.
  • Bearish trend alignment across 30m to 8h timeframes, with solid trends on 1h, 2h, and 4h, supporting the signal's direction.
  • Key levels: resistance at 87220 and support at 79800. A break below support would confirm the move; a reclaim of resistance would invalidate.
  • Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, so expect potential volatility and watch for momentum shifts.
The 12H SELL signal on BTC/USDT is supported by a strong cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple retreats (BBANDS LOWER, T3, ALMA). This confluence suggests a breakdown in buying pressure and a shift toward lower prices. The trend across timeframes shows a consistent bearish bias from 30m up to 8h, with solid trends on the 1h, 2h, and 4h charts, reinforcing the signal's probability of 85% and very strong strength.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 87220 and support at 79800. A sustained move below the support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. The choppy/sideways trends on the 12h and 1d timeframes indicate some indecision at higher levels, but the alignment of lower timeframes suggests the bearish move is likely to continue. Traders should watch for a break of the support level as confirmation, and be cautious of any sharp reversal back above resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators firing together (BOP, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, T3, ALMA) create strong confluence for a bearish move.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across several timeframes (30m to 8h) reinforces the signal's strength.
  • ▼ Solid trend scores (3/5) on 1h, 2h, and 4h suggest established momentum in the bearish direction.
  • ▼ The signal's very strong strength and high probability (85%) indicate a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish move may lack sustained follow-through.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 87220, the signal would be invalidated, so watch for a break above that level.
  • ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes (15m showing bullish forming) could signal a potential reversal.
  • ▲ Nearby support at 79800 may act as a strong floor, potentially limiting downside if approached.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 15%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-25 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 87,220.00000 2026-10-02
R2 87,395.67000 2026-09-21
S1 79,800.00000 2026-10-15
S2 74,967.97000 2026-09-15
S3 62,535.24000 2026-08-14

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