LUNC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.07 %
Entry
0.00004412
Target
0.00004356 +1.27 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004756 −7.80 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 1,624 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,624 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.74 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.96 % 20 % at stop avg −3.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish +15 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,753 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Swing
▲ Bullish 8 % (4.45) ▼ Bearish 92 % (52.08)
model score 92.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
LUNC/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.0%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDCB Consumer Confidence Index●●●Forecast 81.5Previous 81.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNew Home Sales●●●Forecast 0.708MPrevious 0.684Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 3.24
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 3.05
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.81
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.79
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.78
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.67
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.66
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.56
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.53
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 2.30
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 2.11
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.08
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.07
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.87
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.83
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.68
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.66
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.47
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.30
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.16

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong 4H bearish signal with multiple indicators confirming the downtrend.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, aligning with the 4H direction.
  • Watch the 0.00005 resistance level as a key barrier for any potential bounce.
  • Shorter timeframes are choppy and mixed, so expect possible counter-trend moves.
The 4H SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT is firing with exceptional strength, driven by a broad convergence of bearish indicators. The DI Cross and DM Cross both confirm a downside move, while the breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band signals accelerating downward volatility. The simultaneous retreats from the upper Bollinger Band, EMA, HT Trendline, and KAMA all point to a unified rejection of higher prices, with the additional 13 signals reinforcing the bearish momentum. This is a textbook confluence of trend and momentum indicators aligning in the same direction on the 4H timeframe.

Across the higher timeframes, the bearish picture is well-supported: the 8H shows a solid trend, the 12H a very strong trend, and the 1D a solid trend, all bearish. However, the shorter timeframes are mixed and choppy, with the 15m bearish but the 30m, 1h, and 2h showing bullish tendencies. This suggests the immediate price action may see some counter-trend bounces, but the dominant higher-timeframe bearish pressure is likely to prevail. The nearest resistance sits at 0.00005, a level that could act as a pivot for further downside if rejected. With no clear support below, the path of least resistance is to the downside, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting shorter-term bullish signals.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of bearish signals: DI Cross, DM Cross, and Bollinger Band breakdown.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, supporting the 4H signal.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) and multiple confirmations from EMA, KAMA, and trendlines.
  • ▼ Momentum is clearly to the downside, with no immediate support levels to halt a decline.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce.
  • ▲ The 4H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so it may not have fully matured yet.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 0.00005 resistance, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
  • ▲ Choppy conditions on lower timeframes may cause false signals or whipsaws.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-26 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-20
R2 0.00005 2026-10-16
R3 0.00005 2026-10-10

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