AUD/CAD – 8H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.70 %

Entry

0.98770

Target

0.98075 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99757 −1.00 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 300 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 300 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.59 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DI CROSS Cross Down, ADX Trend Weak, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish +8 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 18h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 18h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	2.20
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.14
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	2.01
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.00
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.11
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	1.10
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.06
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.06
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 8H point to a selling opportunity, but the trend is not yet strong across all timeframes.
Watch the 0.98075 support—a break below confirms the bearish move; resistance at 0.98878 is the invalidation level.
The bullish 1H and 2H trends conflict with the 8H bearish signal, so expect possible choppy price action.
ADX Trend Weak means the trend is still forming; momentum may need time to build.

The AUD/CAD 8H signal stack is firmly bearish, led by a DI Cross Down and DM Cross Down, with additional confirmation from the BOP Zero Cross Down and WILLR exiting overbought territory. The ADX Trend Weak and SMA 200 Retreat Down indicate the bearish move is still developing, not yet at full strength, which aligns with the mixed picture across timeframes. On the 8H, the trend is choppy and sideways, but the 15m and 30m are already bearish, suggesting the selling pressure is building from the lower timeframes upward. However, the 1H and 2H are still bullish, so the bearish signal may be early, and the higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are not strongly aligned, making this a moderate-conviction sell.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.98878 and support at 0.98075. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple bearish indicators (DI, DM, BOP, STOCHF) on the 8H, combined with the lower timeframe trend, gives the signal its 65% probability, but the conflicting bullish 1H/2H trends and weak ADX keep the strength moderate.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of DI Cross Down and DM Cross Down on the 8H indicates a shift in directional momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and WILLR exiting overbought support the bearish case.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, aligning with the 8H signal.
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down suggests the longer-term moving average is turning lower.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and 2H trends are still bullish, which could stall or reverse the bearish move.
▲ ADX Trend Weak implies the trend is not strong, so the sell may lack follow-through.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.98878 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are not strongly bearish, reducing overall conviction.