AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-28 07:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

110.959

Target

110.539 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

685.826 −518.09 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,417 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,417 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), SAR Flip Bearish, CHOP Choppy +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↓ −5.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (11.51)

model score 68.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 513 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 23h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 23h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 23h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.41
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.81
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.70
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.39
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.28
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.16
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.98
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

UPExtremely strong trend

30M

UPExtremely strong trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is bearish, but the higher timeframes are mostly bullish, so treat this as a potential pullback rather than a full trend reversal.
Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) have crossed down, confirming loss of upside momentum.
Watch the 110.32400 support: a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while holding may allow the bullish trend to resume.
The 1D timeframe is bearish and choppy, so any bearish move could be part of a larger correction.

The 1H AUD/JPY signal is a SELL with moderate strength and 68% probability, triggered by a cluster of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators. AROON Strong Uptrend and SAR Flip Bearish suggest a potential trend reversal, while MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero/down crosses confirm loss of upside momentum. STOCH KD Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate conflicting short-term momentum, but the overall bearish lean is supported by BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down and the SAR flip. The signal is part of a broader bearish confluence, yet the trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with extremely strong bullish trends on 15m, 30m, and 1H, and solid bullish on 2H. This creates a divergence: the higher timeframes (4H-12H) are only forming bullish trends, while the 1D is bearish and choppy. The signal suggests a potential short-term pullback within a larger bullish structure, with key levels at 111.30800 resistance and 110.32400 support. A break below support could confirm a deeper correction, while holding above may see the bullish trend reassert.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across momentum, volatility, and trend indicators (AROON, MOM, ROC, ROCR, BBANDS, SAR) supports the SELL direction.
▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop for potential downside.
▼ The nearest resistance at 111.30800 is close, and a rejection there could fuel a bearish move.
▼ The signal probability of 68% is above average, indicating a reasonably strong conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes are extremely strong bullish trends, which could override the bearish signal and lead to a quick bounce.
▲ The 2H timeframe is still solidly bullish, so the bearish move may be limited in scope.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up (bullish) within the signal indicates conflicting momentum, which could weaken the bearish case.
▲ If price holds above the 110.32400 support, the bearish signal may fail, and the bullish trend could resume.