AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-28 07:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

110.959

Target

110.755 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

1,537.380 −1,285.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,720 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,720 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: APO Zero Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, AROON Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.20) ▼ Bearish 95 % (21.70)

model score 73.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 513 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 1 day
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 1 day
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.30
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.22
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.11
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03
▼	Identical 3 Crows	candlestick	1.02
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.96
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	0.81
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.50

Trend Context

15M

UPExtremely strong trend

30M

UPExtremely strong trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals are firing on the 30m chart, but they are against a strongly bullish higher-timeframe trend.
The move is likely a pullback or correction, not a full trend reversal, given the trend score alignment.
Watch for price action around the nearest support at 110.32400; a break below could confirm the bearish move, but a bounce would favor the bullish trend.
The nearest resistance at 1537.38000 is far away, so focus on the immediate price action and lower timeframe structure.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an APO zero cross down, AROON cross down with a strong downtrend, a SAR flip to bearish, and a retreat from the upper Bollinger band. This suggests a sharp, momentum-driven reversal is underway on the lower timeframe. However, the broader trend context is overwhelmingly bullish: every timeframe from 15 minutes up to 12 hours is bullish, with the 15m, 30m, and 1h showing extremely strong or very strong trend scores. This creates a significant conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the prevailing higher-timeframe bullish trend.

For a trader, this is a classic counter-trend setup. The bearish signals are firing against the grain, so the move is likely to be corrective rather than a full trend change. The nearest resistance at 1537.38000 is far above the current price, while the nearest support at 110.32400 is far below—an odd level configuration that suggests the levels may be misaligned or that the price is in a volatile zone. The key is to watch whether the bearish momentum can push through the immediate support levels that are likely to form in between, or whether the bullish higher timeframes will reassert control. The invalidation level for this bearish signal would be a break back above the recent swing high or the upper Bollinger band, which would signal that the reversal has failed.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of bearish signals (APO, AROON, SAR, BBANDS) all firing simultaneously on the 30m chart.
▼ The SAR flip and upper band retreat indicate a loss of upside momentum.
▼ The 1d timeframe is bearish and choppy, which could provide a longer-term backdrop for a deeper correction.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are all bullish, with extremely strong trend scores, which strongly argues against a sustained bearish move.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, and the probability (74%) leaves a significant chance of failure.
▲ If price reclaims the upper Bollinger band or makes a higher high, the bearish signal is invalidated and the bullish trend likely resumes.
▲ The nearest support is far below, so there is a risk of a sharp bounce before any meaningful downside is seen.