EUR/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.62 %

Entry

1.11261

Target

1.12608 +1.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.09550 −1.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 541 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 541 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ULTOSC OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 13.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 841 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURRetail Sales m/m●●○Forecast -0.2%Previous 1.3%in 1h
15:00TodayUSDConstruction Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.9%in 9h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.30
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.08
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.07
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.81
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 4H indicate a potential short-term bounce, but the overall trend across all timeframes is bearish.
Watch the 1.12608 resistance; a break above could open the door for a deeper correction, while rejection keeps the bearish bias.
The bounce is supported by oversold conditions and a bullish engulfing candle, but lacks higher timeframe confirmation.
Support at 1.11129 is the key downside level if the bounce loses steam.

The EUR/USD 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, ULTOSC OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up—along with a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. These signals collectively point to a short-term oversold bounce within a broader bearish structure, as every timeframe from 15m up to 1d shows a bearish trend. The bounce is likely corrective, not a reversal, unless price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.12608.

Despite the strong signal probability (84%) and strength, the alignment of lower timeframes with the 4H bearish trend suggests rallies may be sold into. The key resistance sits at 1.12608, and a failure to overcome it would keep the bearish bias intact. Conversely, a close above that level could shift the short-term outlook, while support at 1.11129 remains the downside target if the bounce fails.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of oversold exit signals (RSI, ULTOSC, KDJ) and momentum crossovers (BOP, STOCH) align with a potential bottoming process.
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the 4H timeframe provides a classic reversal clue.
▲ High signal probability (84%) and strong strength increase the likelihood of a short-term upward move.
▲ Nearest support at 1.11129 provides a defined downside boundary for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, with very strong trends on 1H and 1D, which may overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear trend and potential whipsaw.
▼ The signal is corrective in nature; without a break above 1.12608, the bounce may stall and reverse.
▼ A daily close below 1.11129 would invalidate the bullish setup and target further downside.