USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 07:05 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.34 %

Entry

0.82964

Target

0.81916 +1.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −1.19 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 886 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 886 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 513 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

08:30TodayCHFprocure.ch Manufacturing PMI●●○in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 9h
15:00TodayUSDConstruction Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.9%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.06
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.22
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.16
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.99
▼	RSI OB Entry	indicator	0.95
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests a potential short-term pullback in USD/CHF.
The signal is counter to the prevailing short-term bullish trend, so treat it as a correction within that trend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.83950 and the nearest support at 0.81916 for potential reaction points.
Higher timeframes remain bullish (4H), so the bearish move may be limited in scope.

The USD/CHF 2H chart is firing a cluster of bearish signals at the upper Bollinger Band, including RSI overbought, a Stochastics bearish cross, and retreats from the upper band by both TEMA and HMA. The ZLMA break down and the bearish candlestick patterns add confluence, suggesting that the recent upward momentum may be exhausting near resistance. Despite the short-term bullish trend across timeframes from 15m to 4h, the signal targets a pullback within that larger context, not necessarily a trend reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.83950, which aligns with the overbought conditions on the 2H timeframe, and the nearest support at 0.81916, which could act as the first downside objective. The mixed higher timeframe picture—bullish on 4h but choppy on 8h/12h, and bearish on the daily—suggests the bearish signal may be a corrective move rather than the start of a new downtrend. Traders should watch for confirmation of the downside move and be prepared for the possibility of a bounce if the pair fails to break below near-term support levels.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought indicators (RSI, STOCH) and retreat signals (BBANDS, TEMA, HMA) align to suggest momentum is fading.
▼ The ZLMA break down and bearish candlestick patterns add confluence to the bearish case.
▼ The signal occurs near resistance at 0.83950, which could provide a level for sellers to act.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish and choppy, which may support a move lower over a longer horizon.

Risk Factors

▲ The trend across most timeframes (15m to 4H) is bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a bounce.
▲ The signal is only moderate strength with a 70% probability, leaving room for failure.
▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 0.83950, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum indicators could turn up again if the pullback is shallow, leading to a continuation of the uptrend.