USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 07:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %

Entry

157.690

Target

157.977 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.649 −0.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,720 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,720 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, SMA 200 Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.1 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 577 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 9h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 9h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.90
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.61
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.20
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, but it is counter to the broader daily trend.
Key resistance at 157.98600; a break above confirms further upside.
Support at 157.58400 is the invalidation level; a move below it negates the bullish setup.
Mixed higher timeframe trends—only 2H and 4H are bullish—so treat this as a short-term reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a trendline break to the upside, a BOP zero cross up, a STOCHF KD cross up, a WILLR exit from oversold, retreats off both the EMA 200 and SMA 200, an Ichimoku cloud bullish condition, and a bullish candlestick pattern (Above The Stomach). Together, these indicate a strong short-term momentum shift and a potential reversal from the recent bearish drift. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick, trendline, and indicator) amplifies the signal's reliability, suggesting that buyers are stepping in with conviction.

However, the broader trend alignment is mixed. While the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes show bullish tendencies (trend forming), the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes remain bearish or choppy. This suggests the bullish signal is primarily a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The immediate resistance at 157.98600 is the key upside hurdle; a break above it could open the door for further gains. On the downside, support at 157.58400 is the critical level to watch—if price falls back below it, the bullish thesis would be invalidated.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing simultaneously across candlestick, trendline, and indicator groups.
▲ Bullish Ichimoku cloud condition and retreats off both EMA 200 and SMA 200 suggest strong dynamic support.
▲ WILLR exit from oversold and STOCHF cross up indicate momentum shifting upward.
▲ Trendline break up adds technical confluence to the reversal attempt.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends are mostly bearish, so this could be a counter-trend bounce that fades.
▼ Resistance at 157.98600 is nearby and may cap upside if not broken decisively.
▼ If price falls below support at 157.58400, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.