AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.33 %
Entry
0.98396
Target
0.98075 +0.33 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99067 −0.68 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 17h
  • TomorrowCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 1 day
  • November 5, 2026AUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 0%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ZLMA Break Down indicator 2.91
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.81
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.16

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong SELL signal on the 1H timeframe, with 96% probability, driven by a cluster of retreat-down indicators.
  • The bearish trend is consistent across most timeframes (15m to 12h), though choppy and weak, so expect a gradual decline rather than a sharp drop.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.99067 (invalidation) and support at 0.98229 (potential target).
  • The 8h and 1d timeframes are bullish but weak, so they do not override the short-term bearish bias.
The 1H AUD/CAD signal is a very strong SELL, with a 96% probability, driven by a broad cluster of retreat-down signals across multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) and candlestick patterns. This confluence indicates that price has decisively pulled back from a local high, and the alignment of multiple independent indicators on the same timeframe strengthens the bearish case. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish from 15m up to 12h, though with choppy/sideways conditions and weak trend scores (1/5 or 2/5), suggesting the downtrend is real but not yet strongly established. The 8h and 1d timeframes are bullish, but they are also choppy/sideways with low scores, so they do not provide strong counter-trend support. The nearest resistance at 0.99067 is a critical invalidation zone; a break above would negate the bearish signal. The nearest support at 0.98229 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate the move. Overall, the signal points to short-term downside pressure within a broader, less-defined market, so traders should focus on the 1H structure and manage risk around the resistance level.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple independent moving average retreat-down signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, etc.) confirm the bearish move.
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns add confluence to the indicator signals.
  • ▼ The bearish trend spans from 15m to 12h, showing alignment across timeframes.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance is relatively close, providing a clear invalidation level for risk management.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The higher timeframes (8h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit the downside or cause a reversal if they strengthen.
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways conditions and low trend scores suggest the bearish trend is not well-established, so momentum could fade.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 0.99067, the SELL signal is invalidated.
  • ▲ The support at 0.98229 is nearby; if it holds, the downside may be limited, leading to a range-bound market.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99067 2026-10-28
S1 0.98229 2026-10-27
S2 0.98075 2026-10-23
S3 0.97907 2026-10-15

Tags

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