AUD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.39 %
Entry
0.70378
Target
0.71398 +1.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68941 −2.04 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 563 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 563 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.42 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/USD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 5h
  • TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 5h
  • TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 67%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.76
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.52
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.45
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 2.03
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.99
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.94
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.88
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.84
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.63
▼ STC Level Cross Down indicator 1.21

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicator confirmations, suggesting momentum shift upward.
  • Trend alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D supports the bullish case, though 1H is bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.71398 for a breakout; a break below support at 0.68941 invalidates the signal.
  • Expect possible choppy price action in the near term given low trend scores on 15m/30m.
The AUD/USD 4H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside momentum shifts like MOM Zero Cross Down and ROC Zero Cross Down. This confluence suggests a rotation from bearish pressure to bullish momentum, with the BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up confirming a shift in the mean trend. The overall trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes all showing trend-forming bullishness, while shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy but still bullish. The 1H timeframe is bearish and trend-forming, which introduces a minor conflicting signal but does not outweigh the broader bullish alignment.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.71398 and support at 0.68941. A sustained move above the resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. The strength of the signal is strong, with a probability of 76%, and the alignment across multiple timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) supports the bullish thesis. However, the choppy nature of the 15m and 30m trends suggests potential near-term consolidation, and the 1H bearish trend could act as a headwind. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels, as a failure to hold above support or a rejection at resistance would signal a reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple zero-cross and midline-cross indicators firing together (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) indicate strong bullish confluence.
  • ▲ Bullish trend forming on 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, providing a solid multi-timeframe foundation.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength and high probability (76%) increase confidence in the move.
  • ▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up suggests the average price is moving higher, supporting the bullish bias.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1H timeframe is bearish and trend-forming, which could counter the bullish momentum if it gains strength.
  • ▼ Choppy price action on 15m and 30m (trend score 1/5) may lead to false breakouts or consolidation.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a bearish reversal.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.71398 is close; a rejection there could stall momentum and lead to a retracement.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 67%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.71398 2026-09-21
R2 0.72374 2026-09-09
S1 0.68941 2026-10-15

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