AUD/USD – 4H – BUY
BUY 4× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +8 more
Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 5h
- TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 5h
- TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 12h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.76 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | KELTNER MID Cross Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | STC Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicator confirmations, suggesting momentum shift upward.
- Trend alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D supports the bullish case, though 1H is bearish.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 0.71398 for a breakout; a break below support at 0.68941 invalidates the signal.
- Expect possible choppy price action in the near term given low trend scores on 15m/30m.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.71398 and support at 0.68941. A sustained move above the resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. The strength of the signal is strong, with a probability of 76%, and the alignment across multiple timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) supports the bullish thesis. However, the choppy nature of the 15m and 30m trends suggests potential near-term consolidation, and the 1H bearish trend could act as a headwind. Traders should monitor price action relative to these levels, as a failure to hold above support or a rejection at resistance would signal a reversal.
- ▲ Multiple zero-cross and midline-cross indicators firing together (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) indicate strong bullish confluence.
- ▲ Bullish trend forming on 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, providing a solid multi-timeframe foundation.
- ▲ Strong signal strength and high probability (76%) increase confidence in the move.
- ▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up suggests the average price is moving higher, supporting the bullish bias.
- ▼ The 1H timeframe is bearish and trend-forming, which could counter the bullish momentum if it gains strength.
- ▼ Choppy price action on 15m and 30m (trend score 1/5) may lead to false breakouts or consolidation.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a bearish reversal.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.71398 is close; a rejection there could stall momentum and lead to a retracement.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.71398 | 2026-09-21 |
| R2 | 0.72374 | 2026-09-09 |
| S1 | 0.68941 | 2026-10-15 |