AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-30 12:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.19 %

Entry

110.457

Target

110.245 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.980 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 20h
00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 21h
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.55
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.20
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.07
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.92
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.83

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute timeframe, with multiple indicators confirming downside momentum.
Trend is bearish and solid across lower timeframes (15m-2h), but higher timeframes are choppy, so the move may be part of a larger range.
Key levels: support at 110.37300 (potential target) and resistance at 110.98000 (invalidation).
Watch for a potential short-term bounce (STOCH KD Cross Up) that could offer a better entry before the downtrend resumes.

The AUD/JPY pair on the 30-minute timeframe is flashing a strong bearish signal, with a confluence of momentum and trend indicators aligning. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying/selling pressure, while the CCI exiting the oversold region suggests that the recent downward move may be gaining traction. The STOCH KD Cross Up, typically a bullish signal, is somewhat counterintuitive but may be reflecting a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend. The retreats from DEMA, EMA, MA, and the HT TRENDLINE all point to price pulling back from dynamic and static resistance levels, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is solid and consistent from 15 minutes up to 2 hours, all with a strength of 3/5 (except 15m at 2/5). However, higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy and sideways, indicating that the larger trend is not yet firmly established. This suggests the current sell signal is a tactical move within a broader range, and traders should watch for the nearest support at 110.37300 as a potential target or bounce zone. The nearest resistance at 110.98000 is the key invalidation level; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, EMA, DEMA, MA, HT TRENDLINE) all pointing bearish.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 2h timeframes, all bearish with solid strength.
▼ Retreats from key moving averages and trendline suggest price is respecting overhead resistance.
▼ Strong probability (78%) and strength rating (strong) for the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are choppy and sideways, indicating lack of a larger trend to support a sustained move.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up is a bullish crossover, which could trigger a short-term bounce that stalls the downtrend.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 110.98000, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum fading as CCI exits oversold could lead to a pause or reversal if buyers step in.