EUR/AUD – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.68 %
Entry
1.59032
Target
1.57746 +0.81 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.62660 −2.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 563 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 563 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.42 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 698 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 4h
  • TodayEURCPI m/m●●●Forecast 2.9%Previous 0.6%in 6h
  • TodayEURCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 72%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.14
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.85
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.67
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.36
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.35
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.31
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.29
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.28

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals are firing on the 4H, but higher timeframes are still bullish—watch for confirmation.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.62660, support at 1.57746; a break below support would confirm the move.
  • The signal cluster includes BOP, CCI, and moving average retreats, indicating strong downward momentum on this timeframe.
  • Trend is choppy on lower and daily timeframes, so expect potential volatility and false starts.
The 4H timeframe is firing a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI exiting overbought territory, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, SMA 50, HMA) all pointing to downward momentum. The presence of a HT SINE Cross Up and a shift to Cycle mode suggests that while the longer-term trend has been bullish, the current cycle is turning. This confluence of indicator and candlestick signals on the 4H chart indicates a potential shift in momentum, but the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) are still bullish, which creates a conflict.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.57746 and resistance at 1.62660. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce off resistance could invalidate the signal. The 15M and 1D timeframes are bearish but choppy, suggesting the trend is not yet solid. The probability of 75% and strong signal strength argue for a meaningful move, but traders should be cautious given the mixed trend alignment across timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving averages (EMA 50, SMA 50, HMA) retreating in tandem strengthens the bearish case.
  • ▼ CCI exiting overbought and BOP crossing below zero add confluence to the sell signal.
  • ▼ HT SINE Cross Up and shift to Cycle mode suggest a new down-cycle is beginning on the 4H.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (75% probability) increases confidence in the direction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H to 8H) are bullish, which could override the 4H bearish signal.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 1.57746 is far; a move may stall before reaching it, and a bounce off resistance could invalidate the setup.
  • ▲ The 15M and 1D trends are choppy/sideways, indicating low conviction in the broader trend.
  • ▲ If the 4H price fails to break below recent lows, the signal may fade and reverse.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 72%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62660 2026-10-15
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.57746 2026-10-28

Tags

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