USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 21:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.15 %

Entry

157.674

Target

156.075 +1.01 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.336 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, MACD Hidden Bear Div, DEMA Break Down +18 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.98
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.87
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.78
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.76
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	RSI Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.41
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.38
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.36
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.06
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.88
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	1.75
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.75
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.55
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	1.39
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	1.32
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All timeframes align bearish, but momentum is choppy and weak.
A dense cluster of moving-average breakdowns and a Death Cross confirm strong downside pressure.
Watch nearest resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.075.
The 98% probability reflects very strong confluence, but choppy conditions warrant caution.

The USD/JPY 2H signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength. A dense cluster of trend-following indicators (Aroon, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) has all broken down, and the EMA 50/200 Death Cross confirms a structural shift lower. The higher-timeframe trendline break adds further weight, while candlestick, divergence, and Fibonacci groups reinforce the bearish case.

Across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, the trend is uniformly bearish, though the choppy/sideways status (1/5) suggests momentum is not clean and could be prone to whipsaws. The key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 158.336 and nearest support at 156.075. A sustained break below support would open the path lower, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 1d).
▼ Multiple moving-average breakdowns (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) and a 50/200 Death Cross.
▼ Higher-timeframe trendline break adds structural confirmation.
▼ Candlestick, divergence, and Fibonacci groups all support the bearish direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on all timeframes could lead to false breakouts or reversals.
▲ A reclaim of the 158.336 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum is weak (1/5 trend score), so the move may lack follow-through.
▲ Nearby support at 156.075 could stall the decline and trigger a bounce.