BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.62 %
Entry
77,799.29
Target
77,450.00 +0.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
78,285.00 −0.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 12,961 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 12,961 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.09 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Break Down, Trendline Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
BTC/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 14h
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 30m 4%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 50 Break Down indicator 2.87
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.10
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.95
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.95
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.85
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ SMA 50 Break Down indicator 1.77
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.73
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.71
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.71
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.70
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.51
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes supports a sell bias.
  • Immediate support at 77749.09000 is the key level to watch for a breakdown.
  • Resistance at 78285.00000 must hold to keep the bearish setup intact.
  • Minor bounce signals (STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS Lower Retreat) could provide short-term pullbacks within the downtrend.
The BTC/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and an EMA 50 Break Down, with momentum oscillators (APO Zero Cross Down, DEMA/EMA Retreat Down) confirming the downward push. The Bollinger Bands Lower Retreat Up and STOCH KD Cross Up suggest a minor intraday bounce attempt, but the overwhelming bearish confluence—including HT Trendline Retreat Down and ten additional signals—points to sustained selling pressure. Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 15m, 30m, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all showing trend formation (2/5), while the 1h and 2h are choppy/sideways but still bearish. This alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend, though the lower timeframes' 'trend forming' status indicates the move is still developing rather than mature.

Key levels to monitor are immediate support at 77749.09000 and resistance at 78285.00000. A decisive break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (88%) and very strong strength of the signal, combined with the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, argue for a continuation, but traders should watch for a potential bounce from the Bollinger lower band or a stochastics oversold condition that could trigger a short-term corrective rally.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down and EMA 50 Break Down provide strong trend reversal confirmation.
  • ▼ APO Zero Cross Down aligns with momentum turning bearish.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 1d) reinforces the signal.
  • ▼ High signal probability (88%) and very strong strength indicate robust confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and BBANDS Lower Retreat Up suggest a potential short-term bounce that could temporarily counter the downtrend.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 1h and 2h timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 78285.00000, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ Trend scores are only 2/5 (trend forming), meaning the trend is not fully established and could reverse.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-01 19:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 78,285.00000 2026-11-01
R2 78,804.01000 2026-10-30
R3 81,971.00000 2026-10-29
S1 77,749.09000 2026-11-01
S2 77,450.00000 2026-10-31
S3 77,392.01000 2026-10-31

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