BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-01 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.34 %

Entry

78,354.00

Target

81,971.00 +4.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

76,325.98 −2.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,899 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,899 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.78 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.82 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up, KDJ Cross Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.5 % ↑ +7.5 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +37% Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (52.91) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 32.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 8h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.48
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.24
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.08
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.94
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.86
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	0.86
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals fired on 4H, but higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch for a break above 81971 to confirm bullish continuation; below 76325.98 invalidates.
The bounce may be counter-trend; consider scaling in or waiting for higher timeframe confirmation.
Strong signal cluster (88% probability) but lower timeframe trend scores are weak.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and a cross above the BBANDS middle band, indicating a shift in momentum. This is reinforced by the DEMA and MIDPOINT retreats up, suggesting that price is finding buying interest at current levels. However, the broader trend remains bearish, with the 4H and higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) all in a bearish trend-forming phase. The bullish signals are currently confined to the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) and the 1H/2H are choppy, so this may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 81971 and support at 76325.98. A sustained move above resistance would signal a stronger bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The high probability (88%) and very strong strength of the signals suggest a tradable bounce, but traders should be cautious of the higher timeframe bearish bias.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, BBANDS, DEMA, MIDPOINT, HT SINE) align bullish.
▲ Price is above the 4H midpoint and DEMA, indicating short-term buying pressure.
▲ Nearest support at 76325.98 has held, providing a base for the bounce.
▲ High signal probability (88%) and very strong strength suggest robust momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, so this could be a bearish pullback.
▼ Lower timeframe trend scores are weak (2/5), indicating the bounce may lack persistence.
▼ A break below 76325.98 support would invalidate the bullish signals.
▼ Resistance at 81971 is nearby and could cap upside if not broken.