BTC/USDT – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.76 %
Entry
76,816.00
Target
74,967.97 +2.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
84,898.00 −10.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 53 of 100 crypto 1d signals ended in profit · on average +0.06 % per trade 378 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 378 closed crypto 1d signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +7.11 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +5.43 % 29 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −5.86 % 19 % at stop avg −8.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 1d signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
37.9 % ↓ −25.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +39% Position
▲ Bullish 20 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 80 % (20.49)
model score 8.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
BTC/USDT  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 8h
  • TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 9h
  • TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.00
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.67
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.15
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.13
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.07
▼ Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.97
▼ Last Engulfing Top candlestick 0.97
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the daily chart with 80% probability, driven by trendline breakdown and multiple momentum indicators.
  • All timeframes are aligned bearish, but the trend is still forming, so the move may not be fully mature.
  • Key levels: resistance at 84,898 and support at 74,967. A break below support could accelerate the decline.
  • Oversold conditions on WILLR and RSX may lead to a temporary bounce, but the overall bias remains down.
The SELL signal on BTC/USDT's daily chart is firing with a strong probability of 80%, driven by a confluence of technical indicators and a trendline breakdown. The Trendline Break Down suggests a loss of upward structural support, while the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates that buying pressure has waned and sellers are gaining control. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and KDJ Cross Down confirm bearish momentum, and the WILLR OS Entry and RSX OS Entry suggest that the market is in oversold territory, which could lead to a bounce but also indicates strong selling pressure. The ZSCORE Extreme Low highlights that the price is significantly below its statistical mean, potentially signaling a mean-reversion opportunity, but in the context of a downtrend, it often reflects extreme bearish sentiment.

Across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily, the trend is consistently bearish, albeit with a trend-forming status (2/5 strength). This alignment across multiple timeframes reinforces the bearish outlook, as there is no conflicting higher-timeframe signal to counter the daily sell. The nearest resistance at 84,898.00 acts as a key level to watch for any rebound, while the nearest support at 74,967.97 is the immediate downside target. If the price breaks below this support, it could open the door for further declines. However, the oversold readings on several oscillators suggest that a short-term bounce is possible, so traders should be cautious about chasing the move without confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline breakdown and BOP zero cross down confirm a shift in market sentiment to bearish.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trends across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, reinforcing the signal.
  • ▼ Multiple oscillator cross downs (STOCHF, KDJ) and extreme low ZSCORE indicate strong selling pressure.
  • ▼ The signal includes candlestick patterns that may add confluence to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Oversold conditions on WILLR and RSX could trigger a short-term bounce, invalidating immediate downside moves.
  • ▲ The trend is still forming (2/5 strength), suggesting the bearish trend may not be fully established yet.
  • ▲ A break back above the resistance at 84,898 would negate the trendline breakdown and signal a potential reversal.
  • ▲ The ZSCORE extreme low might indicate an overextended move, increasing the risk of a mean-reversion rally.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 84,898.00000 2026-10-21
R2 87,395.67000 2026-09-21
S1 74,967.97000 2026-09-15
S2 62,535.24000 2026-08-14
S3 62,275.00000 2026-08-01

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