AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %
Entry
0.97514
Target
0.97152 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98299 −0.81 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,571 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,571 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 15h
  • TomorrowCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 15h
  • TomorrowCADIvey PMI n.s.a.●●○Previous 61.9in 17h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 96%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 3.20
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 3.09
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 3.00
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.99
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.80
▼ Descending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 2.75
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.72
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.69
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.53
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.81
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.55
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.39
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.28
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.02

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: Descending Triangle breakdown plus multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, MAMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all align for a sell signal.
  • Short-term trend is solidly bearish across 15m to 2H, while higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bearish but less developed, suggesting the move is strongest in the near term.
  • Key resistance to watch is 0.98299; a break back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Williams %R oversold entry indicates momentum is stretched, but the trend context favors continued downside rather than a quick bounce.
The 1H AUD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, backed by a 91% probability and a very strong strength reading. A confluence of technical events has fired: a Descending Triangle breakdown, a DEMA Break Down, and a MAMA PRICE Break Down, alongside multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA) and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. The Williams %R oversold entry suggests momentum is stretched, but the broader trend context supports continued downside pressure rather than an immediate reversal.

Trend alignment is solid across the lower timeframes, with 15m through 2h all showing a solid bearish trend (3/5). The 4H and 8H are also bearish but still forming (2/5), while the 12H and 1D are bearish but choppy/sideways (1/5). This indicates the bearish momentum is strongest in the short term, with higher timeframes not yet fully committed. The nearest resistance is at 0.98299, which now acts as a key ceiling; a break back above this level would weaken the bearish case. With no nearest support defined, the downside target is open, but traders should watch for potential support zones on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple technical signals (13+ in total) align in the same direction, creating a strong confluence.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes is consistently bearish with solid trend scores.
  • ▼ The Descending Triangle pattern breakdown adds a classic chart-pattern confirmation to the indicator-based signals.
  • ▼ The 4H and 8H timeframes are also bearish (trend forming), suggesting the bearish momentum may extend beyond the immediate short term.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are only choppy/sideways, which could limit the depth of the move and increase the chance of a range-bound bounce.
  • ▲ The Williams %R oversold reading suggests the market may be due for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 0.98299 is a critical level; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ With no defined support level, the downside could be open, but unexpected support from higher-timeframe zones could cause a sharp reversal.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98299 2026-10-30
R2 0.98441 2026-10-30
R3 0.99067 2026-10-28

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