USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-05 21:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

1.40192

Target

1.40418 +0.16 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39427 −0.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Break Up, EMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 90 % (38.54) ▼ Bearish 10 % (4.13)

model score 42.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 14h
13:30TomorrowCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 14h
13:30TomorrowUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TEMA Break Up	indicator	2.55
▲	EMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.47
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.35
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	BBANDS UPPER Break Up	indicator	2.23
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on lower timeframes (15m-2h) with a Golden Cross and multiple moving-average retreats.
Nearest support at 1.39427 is the key level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish signal.
Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, daily) are bearish, suggesting this is likely a counter-trend rally.
Signal probability is very high (90%) with very strong strength, but higher-timeframe conflict warrants caution.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Golden Cross on the 50/200 EMAs, an upper Bollinger Band break, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all pointing to sustained upward momentum. The trend is uniformly bullish from the 15-minute through the 2-hour timeframes, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 15m, 30m, and 1h, and a forming trend on the 2h. This alignment across the lower timeframes supports the continuation of the current advance, with the nearest support at 1.39427 serving as the key level to monitor for pullbacks.

However, higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend. This suggests the bullish move is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart gives the signal a very strong probability (90%), but traders should be cautious of resistance overhead (not specified) and watch for a break below the 1.39427 support, which would invalidate the bullish setup. The strong trend scores on lower timeframes and the dense signal cluster are the primary drivers, while the higher-timeframe bearishness is the main risk.

Catalysts

▲ Golden Cross on 50/200 EMAs confirms bullish trend shift on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Upper Bollinger Band break indicates strong upward momentum and potential for continuation.
▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) align, reinforcing the bullish move.
▲ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, daily) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ Nearest resistance is not specified, but overhead supply may emerge from the daily downtrend.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.39427 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to hold above recent highs, given the conflicting higher timeframe trend.