AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.16 %
Entry
0.69756
Target
0.69501 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70431 −0.97 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,571 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,571 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 15h
  • TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 15h
  • TomorrowUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 92%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Descending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 4.16
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.58
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.56
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.43
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.41
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 1.99
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 1.96
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 1.92
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 1.82
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.25
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.15
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.13

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal on the 1H chart, with a Descending Triangle breakdown and multiple momentum indicators confirming downside.
  • All timeframes show a bearish bias, with solid trends on the 15m, 1H, and 2H charts, supporting the short-term downtrend.
  • Key resistance at 0.70431 is the level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • No clear support level is defined, so use careful risk management and consider trailing stops.
The AUD/USD 1H chart has fired a very strong bearish signal (94% probability) driven by a Descending Triangle breakdown, confirmed by RSI and Williams %R oversold entries, and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. Additional momentum and trend indicators—DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and HT trendline—are all retreating downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, with solid trends on the 15m, 1H, and 2H charts, while higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways but still bearish, suggesting the downtrend is intact but may face some resistance from higher-timeframe consolidation.

Immediate resistance is at 0.70431, which aligns with the broken support of the triangle and now acts as a ceiling. A retest of this level could offer a lower-risk entry for sellers, while a break back above it would invalidate the setup. The nearest support is not defined, so traders should watch for potential bounce zones or use trailing stops to manage risk. The confluence of multiple indicators and the alignment across timeframes make this a high-probability short-term bearish trade, but the lack of a clear support level and choppiness on higher timeframes warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Descending Triangle pattern breakdown, a classic bearish continuation signal.
  • ▼ RSI and Williams %R oversold entries confirm strong selling pressure.
  • ▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) align with the downtrend.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend scores across multiple timeframes, with solid trends on 15m, 1H, and 2H.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to range-bound price action and limit downside.
  • ▲ A break back above the 0.70431 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (RSI, Williams %R) may lead to a technical bounce, especially with no clear support level nearby.
  • ▲ The lack of a defined support level increases the risk of a sharp reversal if momentum fades.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70431 2026-10-30
R2 0.70680 2026-10-29

Tags

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