AUD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.20 %

Entry

0.69901

Target

0.70680 +1.11 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −1.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 597 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 597 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 635 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 10h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 10h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 10h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.96
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.82
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.72
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.23
▼	Downside Gap Three Method	candlestick	1.20
▲	Morning Star	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of oversold exit signals on the 4H suggests a short-term bullish bounce in AUD/USD.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move until the 4H turns bullish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70680 for a breakout; support at 0.68941 is the key invalidation level.
The 15m and 30m are already turning bullish, supporting the bounce in the near term.

The AUD/USD 4H signal has fired a cluster of momentum oscillators (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up) alongside a ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, indicating that selling pressure has exhausted and buyers are stepping in. The confluence of multiple oversold exit signals and a KDJ cross up points to a short-term bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, with the 1H, 2H, and 4H all in solid downtrends. The 15m and 30m are already turning bullish, suggesting the bounce is gaining traction on lower timeframes, but the 4H trend is still forming and lacks confirmation.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.68941. A break above resistance would signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold above support could invalidate the bounce. The signal is strong (84% probability) but the conflicting higher timeframe trends mean traders should treat this as a counter-trend move until the 4H structure turns bullish. The ZSCORE extreme low exit adds weight to the idea that the asset was oversold, but without a confirmed higher timeframe reversal, the bounce may be limited.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCH, STOCHRSI, WILLR, KDJ) all fired bullish cross or exit signals simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ The ZSCORE extreme low exit suggests the asset was deeply oversold, increasing the likelihood of a mean-reversion bounce.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are already in bullish trends, providing early confirmation of the bounce.
▲ The signal has a high probability (84%) and strong strength, indicating robust conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are all in solid bearish trends, which could overwhelm the lower timeframe bullish momentum.
▼ If the price fails to hold above the nearest support at 0.68941, the bounce could fail and resume the downtrend.
▼ The 4H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), meaning the reversal is not yet confirmed and could be a false signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is not far above, and a rejection there could cap the upside.