USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

157.894

Target

157.397 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.504 −0.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +3.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 28 % (6.30) ▼ Bearish 72 % (16.40)

model score 72.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 9h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.06
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart, including BOP, STOCH, and moving average retreats.
The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation to the technical signals.
Key support at 157.78300 is the immediate downside target; a break below could open further room.
Higher timeframes are choppy, so the bearish move may be part of a broader range rather than a strong trend.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. These indicators collectively point to mounting selling pressure, with momentum and trend metrics aligning to the downside. The confluence of multiple signal types—momentum, moving averages, and candlestick patterns—reinforces the bearish outlook, suggesting that the recent pullback may be gaining traction.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the higher timeframes (2H through daily) show only weak trend scores, indicating choppy or sideways conditions. The 30-minute and 1-hour charts are bearish, with the 30-minute trend solid, while the 15-minute remains bullish, creating a short-term conflict. The nearest support at 157.78300 is the key downside target, while resistance at 158.50400 caps the upside. A break below support could accelerate the decline, but given the higher timeframe weakness, the move may be limited in scope.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals across momentum, trend, and candlestick groups.
▼ The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are bearish, supporting the short-term downside bias.
▼ Price is retreating from resistance near 158.50400, with the EMA 200 and SMA 200 both turning down.
▼ The STOCH KD cross down and BOP zero cross down indicate weakening buying pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the sell signal.
▲ Higher timeframes (2H to daily) are choppy/sideways, suggesting limited follow-through and potential for range-bound behavior.
▲ If price fails to break below the 157.78300 support, the bearish setup may lose momentum and reverse.
▲ An invalidation above the 158.50400 resistance would negate the bearish signals and could trigger a short squeeze.