USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-06 03:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

0.81668

Target

0.81326 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81855 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 19 % (4.21) ▼ Bearish 81 % (17.87)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDParticipation Rate●●○Forecast 61.9%Previous 61.8%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 8h
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.49
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.26
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.08
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.01
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.85
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30M timeframe with multiple indicators aligning lower.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Watch resistance at 0.81855; a break above could invalidate the signal.
Support at 0.81326 is the immediate downside target.

The USD/CHF 30-minute signal is firmly bearish, with a strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators all pointing lower. The ADXR Trend Weak suggests the current downtrend lacks strong directional force, but the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit all confirm bearish momentum is building. The EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down indicate that price is pulling back from key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. The CTI OB Entry and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down further align with the sell signal, while additional candlestick patterns support the downside move.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though it strengthens with higher timeframes. The 15m and 30m are choppy and sideways, but the 1h and 2h show a forming trend, and the 4h and 8h are solidly bearish. This alignment suggests the sell signal is part of a broader downtrend, with the 12h and 1d still bearish but less decisive. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81855, which should hold to maintain bearish pressure, and the nearest support at 0.81326, a break of which could accelerate the decline.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR) all signaling bearish.
▼ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat down, indicating price rejection from moving averages.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H) are solidly bearish, aligning with the 30M signal.
▼ Strong signal strength (80% probability) and multiple signal groups (indicator, candlestick).

Risk Factors

▲ ADXR Trend Weak suggests the current trend may lack strength, leading to possible choppy price action.
▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are choppy/sideways, which could result in false breakouts.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.81855 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if price fails to break support at 0.81326, leading to a consolidation.