NZD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down, SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross +7 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for NZD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 8h
- TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 8h
- TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 8h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.24 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.71 |
| ▼ | SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross | indicator | 2.49 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | CHOP Trending | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 1.09 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish momentum is very strong on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, but higher timeframes (2h-8h) are choppy, so this may be a short-term move within a range.
- A dense cluster of trend-following indicators (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all point lower, reinforcing the sell signal.
- The BBANDS LOWER Break Down suggests price is pushing below the lower Bollinger Band, often a sign of accelerating downside.
- Key resistance to watch is 0.56581; a break above that level would invalidate the bearish thesis.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but not uniform. The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour charts all show solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour charts are choppy and sideways, indicating that the current selloff is primarily a short-term move within a larger consolidation. The daily chart is solidly bearish, which supports the medium-term outlook. The nearest resistance is at 0.56581, and with no defined support nearby, the downside could be open until a meaningful support level forms. Traders should watch for a break below recent lows to confirm continuation, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▼ Strong alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, all showing solid to very strong bearish trends.
- ▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) are retreating together, confirming broad-based selling pressure.
- ▼ The BBANDS LOWER Break Down signals that price has moved below the lower Bollinger Band, often preceding further downside.
- ▼ The daily chart is solidly bearish, providing a supportive backdrop for the short-term sell signal.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) are choppy and sideways, which could mean the current downtrend is part of a larger range and may reverse suddenly.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up is a bullish signal that could indicate an oversold bounce, potentially stalling the selloff.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.56581 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential reversal.
- ▲ Momentum may be fading given the very strong short-term trend; a pullback to the mean (e.g., middle Bollinger Band) is possible before further downside.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.56581 | 2026-11-05 |