AUD/USD – 8H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-03 06:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.96 %

Entry

0.69901

Target

0.70680 +1.11 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −1.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 326 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 17 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, WILLR OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 92 % (32.94) ▼ Bearish 8 % (2.91)

model score 8.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 635 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDParticipation Rate●●○Forecast 61.9%Previous 61.8%in 10h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 10h
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 10h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.56
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.46
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.34
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.33
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Oscillators are flashing oversold-exit and bullish crossovers, but the broader trend is still bearish.
The bounce is confined to the 15M and 30M timeframes; higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch 0.70680 resistance: a break would invalidate the bearish structure, while 0.68941 support is the downside trigger.
This is a counter-trend signal with weak strength; expect limited upside unless higher timeframes flip bullish.

The AUD/USD 8H signal stack is predominantly momentum-driven, with a cluster of oscillators exiting oversold conditions and crossing upward (STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit) alongside zero-line crossovers on APO, BOP, and TSI. These are short-term mean-reversion signals, not trend-reversal confirmations. The broader picture remains bearish: the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes all show solid downtrends, and the 8H and 12H are choppy but still bearish. The 15M and 30M are the only bullish timeframes, indicating that this bounce is still in its early stages and lacks higher-timeframe support.

Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is the immediate upside target and also the invalidation zone for the bearish structure. A break above that level would shift the bias, but until then, the bounce is likely to face selling pressure. The nearest support at 0.68941 is the key level to watch for a continuation of the downtrend if the bounce fades. Given the weak strength score (60%) and the conflicting higher timeframes, this signal is best suited for short-term scalping or as a warning to avoid adding to short positions at these lows.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of momentum signals (STOCH, KDJ, WILLR) all exiting oversold simultaneously, increasing confidence in a short-term bounce.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up suggests buying pressure is starting to outweigh selling pressure, which could fuel the bounce.
▲ The 15M and 30M trends are bullish, providing a short-term tailwind for the immediate move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H, 2H, and 4H trends are all solidly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
▼ The 8H and 12H trends are bearish and choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction and potential for false signals.
▼ If the price fails to break above 0.70680, the bounce could fade and resume the downtrend, targeting 0.68941.
▼ The weak strength score (60%) implies a higher chance of signal failure, especially in a counter-trend context.