DOGE/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.62 %

Entry

0.07412

Target

0.07220 +2.59 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.08148 −9.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.63) ▼ Bearish 92 % (32.09)

model score 7.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for DOGE/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 6h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligned to the downside.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, supporting the sell bias.
Watch support at 0.07220; a break could accelerate downside, while resistance at 0.08148 is the key invalidation.
Short-term counter-trend signals (STOCH, PHASOR) may cause bounces, so patience is key.

The 4H SELL signal on DOG/EUSDT is backed by a cluster of bearish indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while DEMA and ALMA Retreat Down show price pulling back from moving averages. The High Wave Bearish candlestick adds a reversal warning, though the STOCH KD Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up hint at short-term counter-trend bounces. Overall, the bearish bias is consistent across timeframes, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D charts showing solid downtrends (3/5), while the 4H is still forming its trend (2/5).

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.08148 and support at 0.07220. A break below support would confirm the next leg down, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The moderate strength (72% probability) suggests room for pullbacks, especially with the stochastic and phasor cross-ups indicating possible short-term upside corrections. Traders should monitor these levels and the higher timeframe trend for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish alignment across multiple timeframes, especially solid trends on 8H, 12H, and 1D.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure.
▼ DEMA and ALMA Retreat Down indicate price rejecting moving averages.
▼ High Wave Bearish candlestick adds reversal confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up suggest potential short-term bounces.
▲ The 4H trend is only forming (2/5), so momentum may not be strong enough for a sustained move.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.08148 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Choppy price action on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) could lead to false signals.