ICP/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −4.44 %

Entry

2.4320

Target

2.2720 +6.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

2.6870 −10.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 9 % (3.01) ▼ Bearish 91 % (29.87)

model score 5.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for ICP/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 6h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.54
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.54

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 4H signal is bearish, with strong trend scores across multiple timeframes supporting the downside.
The STOCHF KD Cross Up is a minor bullish signal, but it is outweighed by the DEMA and ALMA retreats, which confirm the pullback.
Key levels: resistance at 2.68700, support at 2.27200. A break below support could accelerate the decline.
The bearish trend is most pronounced on the 15m, 30m, 8h, and 12h charts, while the 2h is choppy.

The 4H SELL signal on ICP/USDT is driven by a convergence of momentum and trend-following indicators: the STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests a short-term bullish crossover within the stochastic oscillator, but this is overridden by the DEMA Retreat Down and ALMA Retreat Down, which indicate that price is pulling back from dynamic resistance. This combination implies that any upward momentum is being absorbed by the broader bearish structure, and the retreat of both moving averages reinforces the likelihood of continued downside pressure.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, with the 15m and 30m showing strong and solid trends, while the 1h, 4h, and 1d are in trend-forming stages. The 2h is choppy, but the 8h and 12h solid trends add weight to the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 2.68700 is a key level to watch; a failure to reclaim it would confirm the bearish outlook, while the nearest support at 2.27200 serves as the primary downside target. Traders should monitor these levels for potential breakout or breakdown confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment: most timeframes are bearish, with the 15m, 30m, 8h, and 12h showing strong or solid trends.
▼ Confluence of moving average retreats (DEMA and ALMA) on the 4H chart reinforces the bearish momentum.
▼ The nearest resistance at 2.68700 is likely to cap any upside attempts, providing a clear invalidation level for bears.
▼ The overall market structure favors lower prices, with support at 2.27200 as a plausible target.

Risk Factors

▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up could signal a short-term bounce, potentially stalling the bearish move.
▲ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which may lead to consolidation before the next leg down.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 2.68700, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend could reverse.
▲ Momentum on the 1H and 4H is only trend-forming, so the bearish move may not be as strong as higher timeframe trends suggest.