USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 17:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

1.39926

Target

1.39505 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40686 −0.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 31 % (6.94) ▼ Bearish 69 % (15.19)

model score 68.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 695 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.10
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum and volatility indicators align bearish on the 1H, suggesting a potential downward move.
Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bearish, supporting the sell signal, but shorter timeframes are still bullish, creating conflict.
Watch the 1.39505 support; a break below strengthens the bearish case, while 1.39968 resistance is the key upside barrier.
The signal is moderate strength with 68% probability, so risk management is essential.

The 1H SELL signal on USD/CAD is driven by a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators aligning bearish: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, alongside EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down signals. This suggests selling pressure is building after a period of upward movement, with price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and momentum turning negative. The COPPOCK Zero Cross Up and HT SINE Cross Up add a contrarian twist, hinting at potential longer-term shifts, but the immediate bearish momentum dominates.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: shorter timeframes (15m-1h) show bullish trends, albeit weakening (1h is choppy/sideways), while higher timeframes (4h-1d) are bearish, with the daily showing a solid trend. This divergence suggests the sell signal may be an early reversal or a pullback within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.39505 and resistance at 1.39968. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Alignment of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) pointing down.
▼ Price retreating from upper Bollinger Band, often a precursor to a pullback.
▼ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreat signals indicate downward pressure on key moving averages.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H-1D) provide a supportive backdrop for a sell.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-1h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or countertrend move.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, reducing confidence in directional follow-through.
▲ The COPPOCK Zero Cross Up and HT SINE Cross Up signals suggest possible bullish long-term shifts, conflicting with the sell.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.39968 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.