USD/CHF – 8H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-03 06:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %

Entry

0.81897

Target

0.83127 +1.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.80672 −1.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 326 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 17 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 91 % (19.02) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.85)

model score 26.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 9h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.03
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.85
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.59
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.40
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.35
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum signals on the 8H chart suggest a potential reversal from oversold conditions.
The broader trend across 1H to 4H is bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with higher risk.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.83127 for a breakout; failure there could mean the bounce fades.
The nearest support at 0.81833 is the invalidation level—if price falls below, the bullish signal is void.

The USD/CHF 8H signal is overwhelmingly bullish with an 87% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators. The ADX Trend Strong confirms a powerful directional move, while the BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and KDJ OS Exit all align to indicate that buying pressure is reasserting itself after an oversold condition. The ER Level Cross Down and HMA Retreat Up further support a bullish reversal, and the ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests that price has deviated significantly from its mean and is likely to revert upward. However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 1H through 4H charts. This creates a conflict: the 8H signal is counter-trend, and the bullish momentum may be a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.83127 is a critical hurdle; a sustained break above this level would signal a stronger reversal, while the nearest support at 0.81833 is the key level to watch for invalidation. Traders should treat this as a high-probability counter-trend trade, with tight risk management and a focus on the resistance zone.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (ADX, BOP, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) all pointing bullish.
▲ Extreme low ZSCORE exit suggests price is statistically stretched and due for a mean reversion.
▲ The 8H timeframe shows a trend forming, which may be the start of a larger bullish shift.
▲ High probability (87%) and very strong signal strength indicate robust alignment among indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend on 1H, 2H, and 4H is bearish, which could overwhelm the 8H counter-trend signal.
▼ Resistance at 0.83127 is nearby and could cap upside, leading to a failed breakout.
▼ If price breaks below support at 0.81833, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
▼ Momentum signals may be lagging; a quick reversal in sentiment could catch bulls off guard.