USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 13:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.19 %

Entry

158.128

Target

156.962 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

159.636 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,571 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,571 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DI CROSS Cross Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 9h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.87
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.66
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.39
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.34
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.25
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.22
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 1H timeframe suggests short-term selling pressure.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) align bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-8H) remain bullish, creating a conflict.
Watch the 156.962 support; a break below could extend the decline, while 158.336 resistance is the invalidation zone.
Trend strength is weak (DX Trend Weak), so the move may lack conviction—use tight risk management.

The 1H USD/JPY signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit, and ERI Bear Zero Cross Down. This confluence suggests that the recent upside momentum has stalled and that sellers are gaining control on the intraday timeframe. The short-term trend is clearly bearish, with the 15m and 30m timeframes showing solid or forming downtrends, while the 1H remains choppy but leans bearish. However, higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are still bullish, albeit choppy, which creates a conflict that could limit the downside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.962. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. The moderate strength and 72% probability reflect the mixed higher-timeframe picture, so traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity rather than a major trend reversal. The DX Trend Weak signal also indicates that the overall trend is not robust, adding to the need for caution.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) indicate fading upside momentum.
▼ DI and DM cross down confirm bearish directional movement on the 1H.
▼ ERI and ER bearish crossovers add to the bearish confluence.
▼ Short-term trend alignment (15m and 30m) supports the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are still bullish, which could absorb the bearish pressure and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), meaning the signal may lack follow-through.
▲ The nearest resistance at 158.336 is a key level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Weak trend strength (DX Trend Weak) suggests the move may be limited in scope.